_ Yuri Kofner, research assistant, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); non-residential research fellow, Skolkovo Institute for Emerging Market Studies; editor-in-chief analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Munich, 13 July 2020.*In June 2020, the European Commission presented a white paper on how to effectively prevent and…

The course of events in Libya will be soon determined by the positions of Ankara and Moscow and a decision that will be made by Washington – which has yet to throw its weight on the power scales. The parties will definitely not sit at the negotiating table again unless there is a show of strength. The course of the battle and its result will…

I grew up in the transatlantic liberal democracy of Germany and know about the other historical paths of German history which wanted to make an alliance with Russia, be it the Black Reichswehr, be it Rapallo, be it the Eurasian axis of Sun Yatsen, be it the Hitler-Stalin Pact and the neutral Germany which was wavering between the blocs and never found…

Today Americans are celebrating the most important national holiday — Independence Day. More than a year after the advent of the American Revolutionary War, on July 4, 1776, delegates to the Second Continental Congress in Philadelphia signed a document, which laid the foundation for a new country. The Declaration of Independence officially announced…

Already at NATO´s 70 years meeting in 2019, the transatlantic alliance due to Trump´s pressure for the first time declared that China was a „potential threat“. Now in June 2020, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has asked the defense alliance to prepare itself more effectively against threats from China. The country is investing heavily in…

Erdogan advances in establishing his Neo-Ottoman Empire. The list is long: after supporting the Muslim Brothers everywhere in the Greater Middle East, equipping Islamist homicide militias from Syria to Libya, he becomes partly responsible for these civil wars and refugee flows, now portrays himself hypocritically as saviors of refugees and human rights…

_ Yuri Kofner, non-residential research fellow, Skolkovo Institute for Emerging Market Studies, editor-in-chief analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Munich, 11 June 2020.
The problem
Serious problems arose in trade and economic relations between Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan. At the end of May 2020, huge lines of heavy trucks formed on the…

Hiroshima Prefecture and the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN) will hold the Hiroshima-ICAN Academy on Nuclear Weapons and Global Security 2020, starting online in July.This training program aims to nurture global leaders to make concrete and peaceful contributions to the world. This is a rare opportunity to learn about the true…

Alexei Tokarev, a senior research fellow at the Institute for International Studies at MGIMO University, looks back at the history of the two great powers and attempts to explain why they cannot be friends, but mustn’t be enemies. Dear John, My name is Alexei. I am 32. I am from Russia. I want to tell you a story. On a bright June day in 2014, I…

The Bulletin's Science and Security Board (SASB) is comprised of a select group of globally recognized leaders with a specific focus on nuclear risk, climate change, and disruptive technologies. The SASB provides the Bulletin with objective external perspectives on trends and issues in these related fields and connects the organization to outside…

The below is a Pugwash statement, prepared by Sergio Duarte (President of Pugwash), Paolo Cotta Ramusino (Secretary-General of Pugwash) and Steven E. Miller (Chair of the Pugwash Executive Council).A Treaty on Open Skies was initially proposed by President Eisenhower in order to allow unarmed aerial surveillance flights with the purpose of increasing…

_ Yuri Kofner, non-residential research fellow, Skolkovo Institute for Emerging Market Studies, editor-in-chief analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Munich, 27 May 2020.Tensions over gas prices and other problemsThe incomplete results of the latest heads of state summit the Eurasian Economic Union, which took place on May 19, 2020, became another…