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Trade and welfare effects of implementing the Belarus-Russia Union State

... 2021.A special relationshipThe post-Soviet space is a prime example of the lived concept of the economic integration of different speeds and of a “Eurasia of concentric rings”. There is the CIS free trade area, then the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), and last but not least the Union State between Belarus and Russia; not to mention some other (security) political regional-multilateral organizations, e.g., the CSTO.The Union State was formally founded in 1999. Its ultimate goal is to create a ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
23.01.2021 12:57:45

Economic effects of Ukraine-EU DCFTA and of counterfactual integration with the Eurasian Economic Union

... groups, both within Ukraine and abroad, regarding the country’s possible future geopolitical and geoeconomics trajectory towards either closer integration with Russia as part of the EurasEC customs union (from 01.01.2015 the Eurasian Economic Union, EAEU) or integration with Europe in the framework an Association Agreement and a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) with the European Union.Effects of the Ukraine – EU DCFTASo far, what have been the net economic effects for Ukraine ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
12.01.2021 14:40:54

Mega Regions

... weakened USA) · South America (centered on a once-again growing Mercosur) · China - a strong center in all-growing North and South East Asia · India – growing Add to this: · A hypothetic Mega-Eurasian Region including the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) with Russia. Enlarged with Turkey, Iran and even Pakistan, Afghanistan, Syria, and Iraq, this would fit nicely into the above possible future picture of the world. Such Mega Regions as above will come to integrate economy (incl. currency), culture,...

Риис Карстен
Опубликовано:
25.11.2020 14:46:37

Trade and welfare effects of a comprehensive free trade agreement between Mongolia and the Eurasian Economic Union

... integrate into the regional economic cooperation process to be able to gain access to the world market. Moreover, Mongolia is in need to establish free trade with countries or unions with a strong economic performance. Stylized facts about Mongolia-EAEU trade and economic relations For Ulaanbaatar, a promising free trade agreement could be with the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).The Eurasian Economic Union, founded in 2015 by the five post-Soviet states Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
09.10.2020 16:12:30

Providing public goods at the supranational level: deliberations from the European economic debate for the EAEU

_ Yuri Kofner, junior economist, MIWI – Institute for Market Integration and Economic Policy. Munich, 4 October 2020. The EAEU should offer public goods The Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) is primarily a customs union and a common market for the free movement of goods, services, capital, and labor. The main task of the EAEU is the so-called “negative integration”, i.e....

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
04.10.2020 11:50:39

Brexit: a chance for a Wider Europe "from Lisbon to Vladivostok"

... power shift in the European Council, together with the need to compensate for the economic and geopolitical damage caused by Brexit, could re-open the possibility of closer trade and economic cooperation between the EU and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) under the so-called "Wider Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok” - concept.But due to the Ukraine crisis and the tensions between Russia and the West, relations between the European Union and the Eurasian Economic Union have had no chance to ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
19.09.2020 18:43:19

Indo-Chinese Conflict and the Eurasian Heartland

In Russia, be it Russian President Putin, be it former Soviet Prime minister Primakov and his advisor Dr. Kulikov (Russia-India-China model/RIC), be it Karaganov, be it even Dr. Kortunov (RIAC), or the Russian Orientalists, Eurasianism is quite en vogue and not only by its former avangardist Alexander Dugin. Especially Dr. Kortunov in his article "Heartland Reunion: Geopolitical Chimera or Historical Chance?” revitalized the idea of Mackinder's paradigm, according to which who controls the Eurasian...

Ostner Ralf
Опубликовано:
16.07.2020 21:05:10

The reason for the queues on the Kazakh-Kyrgyz border and potential solutions

... following documents: CMR (international waybills), TTN (waybills), invoices, vehicle registration certificates, border crossing coupons.KGZ called such actions a hidden customs control, which fundamentally contradicts the provisions of the Treaty on the EAEU in terms of ensuring the freedom of movement of goods on the domestic market of the integration bloc. Biskhek threatened to sabotage the work of the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC) if it was not satisfied with its inquiry into the matter, and ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
11.06.2020 15:43:13

The price of Eurasian disintegration

... services of sanitary, phytosanitary and veterinary measures, for example between Minsk and Moscow on dairy products or between Nursultan and Moscow on watermelons and chicken meat. Pretensions on certain exemptions from the common customs tariff of the EAEU for third countries, for example, for supported foreign cars and sugar imports. Complaints about unlawful restrictions on cargo transit, or, conversely, on the re-export of products, which are under the Russian import ban. Examples include Kazakh ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
27.05.2020 18:09:36

Eurasianness Is a Non-Factor of Eurasian Integration

... which is different both from Europe and Asia, implying that the peoples of Eurasia share commonalities setting them apart from Europeans and Asians. Eurasianness is often used as an ideology to promote and justify post-Soviet integration of which the EAEU is currently the most notable example. Opponents of the Eurasianist concept emphasise its internal contradictions, incongruity with reality while defining it as a manifestation of illusionary and mythological conscience.1 Kaganskij, one of the strongest ...

Мухаметдинов Михаил
Опубликовано:
06.05.2020 12:22:35

EAEU industrial cooperation: promising products with intra-union demand

... Institute for Emerging Market Studies, editor-in-chief analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Munich, 20 April 2020. Intra-union merchandise trade Since its inception in 2010, the average share of intra-union trade within the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU, then – Eurasian customs union) occupied only 7.3 percent of the total trade of the integration bloc. Concurrently, wood products, metals, minerals, and energy carriers, i.e. all raw materials, made up 77.1 percent of the Union’s foreign export ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
25.04.2020 12:14:40

Negative effects for Russia of the US-China Phase-One-Deal

_ Yuri Kofner, non-residential research fellow, Skolkovo Institute for Emerging Market Studies, editor-in-chief, analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Munich, 19 March 2020. Significant trade diversions expected After a 1.5-year trade dispute between the United States and China in which both have raised mutual import tariffs from 3.8 percent and 8.3 percent to 21 percent each, and as a result of which the US-Chinese merchandise trade has dropped by almost USD 90 billion, US President Donald Trump...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
19.03.2020 12:59:09

From the Eurasian Economic Union to the Greater Eurasian Partnership: The View of Chinese Scholars on Eurasian Integration

This overview summarizes part of the views of Chinese academic circles on the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) from different perspectives. Since Chinese scholars do not see a lot of potential in the EAEU to develop on its own, they tend to pay more attention to the integration of Greater Eurasia, and the alignment of the EAEU and the Belt and Road Initiative ...

Fang Yunming
Опубликовано:
28.02.2020 14:39:59

Ten reasons why joining the EAEU could be beneficial for Azerbaijan

_ Yuri Kofner, editor-in-chief, Eurasian Studies. Munich, 8 February 2020.Azerbaijan joining the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) could reduce the costs of imported intermediate goods for the Azerbaijani industry, increase exports of the agricultural and non-oil sectors of the republic by USD 280 million, improve the working and living conditions of Azerbaijani labor migrants ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
09.02.2020 12:36:01

What has Eurasianism to do with the Eurasian Economic Union?

... Kofner, editor-in-chief, analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Munich, 18 November 2019. First published on Global Review. When talking about the various influences on Russia’s foreign policy and on the creation of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), Western journalists and professional kremlinologists generally mention the philosophy or ideology of Eurasianism. Eurasianism is a school of thought that was incepted by a group of Russian white emigre intellectuals almost a hundred years ago during ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
17.11.2019 20:42:00

A Win-Win Situation: EAEU Signs Free Trade Deals with Serbia and Iran

... Market Studies; editor-in-chief, analytical media "Eurasian Studies". First publication on: "Valdai" International Discussion Club. Munich, 29 October 2019.* On October 25 in Moscow, prime ministers of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) member states, Chairman of the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC) Tigran Sargsyan and Prime Minister of Serbia Ana Brnabic signed a Free Trade Agreement between Serbia and the EAEU. On October 27, a “temporary” free trade zone was launched between ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
29.10.2019 19:53:04

RIAC - Astana International Financial Center discuss EAEU financial integration

25 -28 May 2019 in Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan the expert school “The Role of the Astana International Financial Center in the Integration Processes and the Establishment of the EAEU Commona Finance Market” took place. The school was organized by the AIFC with the participation of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC). Yuri Kofner, Head of the Eurasian Sector at the HS and chief editor of the Eurasian Studies portal ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
12.06.2019 08:38:09

EAEU: It’s Only the Beginning

_ Yuri Kofner, Head, Eurasian sector, CCEIS, HSE, Research assistant, IIASA, Editor-in-chief, analytical media “Eurasian Studies”. Nur-Sultan, 29 May 2019.During the first five years of its existence, the EAEU became an indisputable economic reality in Eurasia. Despite the international pressure and relative youth of the Union, it is bringing concrete benefits to the member states. Generally speaking, two of the so-called "four freedoms" of movement ...

Кофнер Юрий
Опубликовано:
30.05.2019 17:05:19

 

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  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
 
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