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Trump’s card a challenging Shift from Counterterrorism to Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan

... noteworthy rise in terror attacks in Afghanistan, which brought about by Taliban, Al-Qaida and the Islamic State affiliates. Improving the security situation in Afghanistan requires Washington to overcome the challenges in shifting from its current counterterrorism (CT) efforts to a counterinsurgency (COIN) campaign that will be focused on the local population in Afghanistan. The Trump administration should take its first steps in this direction on the military, economic, social, and political levels. ...

25.08.2017 10:53:28

Colombia court fines Brazil's Odebrecht $250 million for corruption

UPDATE 19 DEC  According to Buenos Aires News and other sources, Colombia's justice system has fined Brazil construction and engineering giant Odebrecht $250 million, having found the firm guilty of corruption to secure contracts. The company is also banned from tendering for state contracts in Colombia for ten years. According to the Buenos Aires News coverage, Odebrecht is suspected of paying out around $750 million to win government and near-government business in Latin America and the Carribean...

12.07.2017 01:32:13

Russia and the GCC: A Rising Partnership?

Since the outbreak of the Syrian civil war in 2011, many analysts of Russia-Middle East relations have emphasized the contrast between Moscow’s generally cooperative relationship with Iran and tense relationship with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. While this cleavage continues to persist, there are signs that a thaw between Moscow and the GCC bloc is a more realistic possibility than many regional experts have previously assumed. Veteran Russian diplomat Veriamin Popov highlighted...

29.03.2017 15:45:00

ISIS: Turning the Corner or Turning Around?

In these days, as Iraqi forces backed up by the US-led coalition are trying to break the last stand of ISIS resistance in the battle for Mosul, the world will witness the laying of a milestone in the war against the cancerous terrorist state, which broke out across the lands of Iraq and Syria, to rapidly metastasize its cells worldwide. However, as much as it would be tempting to abandon oneself to the enthusiasm following the achievement of such a major breakthrough, a more collected look at the...

28.11.2016 00:14:00

Can the United States and Russia Cooperate Against al-Nusra in Syria?

... Despite these diplomatic overtures, major disagreements on the legitimacy of Assad’s government remain roadblocks to deeper cooperation between Washington and Moscow in Syria. These disagreements are unlikely to be overcome by small-scale counter-terrorism cooperation. It is possible, however, that the United States and Russia could come to a temporary consensus on the need to prioritize counter-terrorism in Syria and avoid a destabilizing regime change. Taking a historical perspective, Russia’s ...

03.07.2016 23:28:00

Should Russia Militarily Assist Somalia Against Al Shabaab?

... could result in blowback terror attacks on Russian soil, indirect Russian military assistance to the Somali government could be highly beneficial for regional security. It would also bolster Moscow’s international status as a leader in combatting terrorism. Despite these positives, the Somali government’s isolation from international arms markets, and Mogadishu’s close bilateral relations with Turkey remain serious obstacles to deeper Russian involvement in the Horn of Africa. How ...

19.06.2016 23:10:00

The Mediapolitics of ISIS: Destruction As Ressentiment

In May 2016, Russia’s Mariinsky Theater orchestra held a classical music performance in the historic city of Palmyra, which had been retaken by the Syrian government after it suffered devastation from the self-proclaimed Islamic State. The concert has become yet another step in the new political race of the 21st century: a battle where new methods of making political points complement traditional ways of fighting and propaganda. It would not be an overstatement to say that ISIS redefined what propaganda...

11.06.2016 18:55:00

Russia-Libya Cooperation and Counter-Terrorism

... between Moscow and the Libyan government is of great value to Russia’s security. With the Libyan government’s assistance, Russia can build a multilateral alliance network against ISIS in Libya that bolsters its status as an alternative counter-terrorism leader to the United States. It can also create a durable economic partnership with Tripoli that will bolster Russian leverage in the Middle East. Russia-Libya Cooperation and Counter-Terrorism While Russia and the West have been united around ...

02.06.2016 00:21:00

Western Democracy Is on Trial, More than Any Time Since WWII

... opt for then. Likewise, in Europe, as leftist leaders are challenged, weakened, and/or ousted one-by-one and are replaced by governments whose missions are resisting pressures of EU policy, as racial, ethnic, and religious tension, fears of Islamic terrorism, nativism, and demagogues become ever more commonplace, it is terrifying to envision its future, too. An autocratic Russia sits on Europe’s edge, poking and prodding from the outside, funding right-wing extremist parties in Europe that ...

17.04.2016 14:28:00

War in Yemen: a New Vietnam?

The Yemeni Civil War is probably not the most talked about conflict in western media, with all the attention attracted by the unfortunately well-known atrocities committed by the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq. Nevertheless, the bloodshed has reached sizable proportions with estimated 6000 dead since March 2015 and it cannot absolutely be underestimated for the gravity and magnitude of geopolitical effects it carries on the the Middle East and the rest of the world. The war broke out as a confrontation...

15.03.2016 13:01:00

Claiming Obama’s Iraq Withdrawal Created ISIS Problem Is Absurd; Here Are the Top 5 Reasons Why

... to compromise with and accommodate Iraqis Sunnis and others that created the current crisis with ISIS. The sad truth is that if Maliki had treated the Sunnis and Kurds more fairly, the Iraqi government—Shiites, Sunnis, and Kurds united against terrorism as they were back in 2007—would have been in a strong position to fend off any ISIS incursions coming into Iraq from Syria. If anything, the internal dynamics of Syria spilled over into Iraq, not the other way around, and hardly related ...

15.01.2016 16:37:00

Russia Reaping What It Sows in Syria: Putin Puts Russia on Path to Peril & Destabilizing Middle East; Downing Russian Plane by Turkey Latest Result

... particularly appropriate for Putin’s strategy because his methods of pursuing whatever gains he seeks pose risks that threaten to harm Russia’s interests more than those gains would help them: Russia is particularly vulnerable to Sunni extremist terrorism for a number of clear reasons and its moves in Syria, as I have written before, are only going to expose Russia to further attacks. If Russia is so concerned with 10% of its arms sales and access to a few military bases in Syria, I am certain ...

13.12.2015 16:44:00

Terror in Paris: Time to Think, & Sit Down, Shutup to the Ideologues

... stadium during a live match, at a restaurant, at a theater during a concert. For those who bring up drone attacks, as if they are some sort of moral equivalent. Drones involve precision weapons, and strikes target those are terrorists or involved in terrorism. There are civilian deaths in these attacks quite often, but with no evidence to the contrary we cannot legitimately make the claim that those civilians are the intended targets and that there is not a legitimate intended target, even if intelligence ...

21.11.2015 13:33:00

Grading Obama’s Middle East Strategy (Sensibly): Part II: Syria

A Sensible Grading of Obama’s Middle East Strategy: The Syrian Civil War Grading Obama on what has—and has not—been done by his administration regarding the Syrian Civil War By Brian E. Frydenborg (LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter @bfry1981) August 3rd, 2015 Reuters Originally published on LinkedIn Pulse here Those who argue that the Obama Administration’s overall Middle East strategy is a total failure have no sense of strategy themselves and dangerously substitute tactical-here-and-nows...

03.08.2015 13:05:00

Grading Obama’s Middle East Strategy (Sensibly): Part I

A Sensible Grading of Obama’s Middle East Strategy, As Opposed to Republican Nonsense: Part I: Introduction, Muslim World Reset, Iraq, Israel/Palestine If you can’t understand that Obama’s overall Middle East strategy is starting to work, you don’t know what you’re talking about By Brian E. Frydenborg (LinkedIn, Facebook, Twitter @bfry1981) May 21st, 2015 Originally published on LinkedIn Pulse here and also published by Stupidparty Math v. Myth thanks to Patrick...

07.06.2015 22:25:00

The Ferguson Intifada, or Why African-Americans are America’s Palestinians

... encounter in Gaza in the summer of 2014. Their leadership decimated by a failed revolt against British rule in Palestine in the 1930s, the Palestinian Arabs were a mess when the British, exhausted emotionally and materially from WWII and facing Jewish terrorism in Palestine, announced their decision to leave and transfer responsibility to the fledgling United Nations. In the ensuing conflict, Israel established a state, but some 700,000 Arabs fled because of direct expulsion at the hands of Jewish ...

02.02.2015 16:14:00

In Time, Expect Big Changes in America's Middle East Relationships

When It Comes to U.S. Relationships in the Middle East, Expect a Lot More Change in Coming Years and Decades. By Brian E. Frydenborg, originally published January 5th, 2015 If you think your site or another would be a good place for this content please do not hesitate to reach out to me! Please feel free to share and repost on LinkedIn, Facebook, and Twitter (you can follow me there at @bfry1981) 2014 has certainly been a year of change. While an ostensible explanation for this would be the...

19.01.2015 17:46:00

Islamic State, Half the Truth is Often a Whole Lie

... understanding of Al-Qaeda's goals, strategy, and tactics. I'm not talking about al-Qaeda's grandiose vision of global domination through a violent Islamic caliphate. That vision is absurd, and we are not going to organize our counterterrorism policies against a feckless delusion That Is never going to happen. We are not going to high These murderous thugs and their aspirations into something larger than they are”. Maybe it was just a macroscopic oversight, but one that inevitably ...

14.01.2015 20:42:00

Why Isn’t Anyone Giving Obama Credit for Ousting Maliki?

How the Obama Administration Removed Iraq’s Largest Political Obstacle Originally published Nov. 2nd, 2014 How Did It Come To This? At some point during Obama’s second term of his presidency, he and his Administration realized that Nuri Kamal al-Maliki was part of the problem, not part of the solution. It did not help that when the administration realized this, violence in Iraq was increasing to levels not seen since the height of the near-civil-war experienced in 2006-2007 during...

13.01.2015 18:52:00

Charlie Hebdo: Take a Side

... parades. Many participants were long date Europe's residents. But instead of taking a hard stance against those, the European governments rushed to stress profusely that Islam is a religion of peace. It is unclear why condemning the supporters of terrorism would have anything to do with the nature of Islam as a religion, but as it stands being politically correct is probably a major source of concern than homeland security. In this regard, Europe - more than the U.S., Australia and New Zealand ...

08.01.2015 02:17:00


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Poll conducted

  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
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