... Ankara. On the contrary, the president elect and his most ardent European allies may close ranks against Ankara, not just on the basis of geopolitics but on the issues of human rights and authoritarianism. In this case, the state of interaction between Turkey and the EU, and the situation in NATO, may go from bad to worse.
Clearly, the continuity between the previous and the new administration is far from comprehensive. If Hillary Clinton or Biden had been the American president in the last four years,...
...
Anna Manafova:
Is the Eastern Mediterranean a New Competitor for Russia on the European Gas Markets?
Transporting the gas to Europe demanded that Cyprus be involved. This once again raised the predictable issue of Cyprus and prompted a response from Turkey (which we believe to be somewhat belated). In the course of time, Israel succeeded in securing the support of Egypt, Greece and Cyprus. The latter two states need to be involved for two reasons: the Aphrodite deposit was discovered off the coast ...
... and cultural monuments—both Christian Armenian and Islamic—would be restored and preserved under Russian protection. These would include the
Dadivank
and
Amaras
monasteries.
Basel Haj Jasem:
Will Moscow Lead a Historic Reconciliation Between Turkey and Armenia?
The road to such a peace is certainly not easy, but Moscow understands that decisive steps must be taken to ensure (1) that any peace is lasting peace, (2) that its position as a regional arbiter is preserved, and (3) that a balance ...
Russians can deal with anyone on the basis of Realpolitik
"There is no alliance between Russia and Turkey," Trenin told EUobserver.
And Putin's ambition for ties with Erdoğan was limited to regional "Realpolitik", Trenin indicated.
"Putin is keen on preserving a peaceful relationship with Turkey, a rising regional power, cooperating ...
... Azerbaijan, as well as the enclave of the Azerbaijani Nakhchivan region through the territory of Armenia. Nonetheless, this part of the agreement, in particular, remains incomplete, with the continued closure of the land borders between Armenia and Turkey.
Michael Lambert:
Russia and the Judgment of Solomon in Nagorno-Karabakh
Nikol Pashinyan, Prime Minister of Armenia, believes that abolishing the ban on transport links will completely change the logic of development in the region. In an interview ...
... been in NATO for sixteen years; Ukraine has been pro-Western and anti-Russian since the Maidan revolution; so has Georgia, only for a decade longer; Moldova is torn in both directions, but leaning more toward the West; Azerbaijan is closely allied with Turkey; Uzbekistan is vociferously independent; and Turkmenistan is reclusive, shunning foreign connections. That leaves only Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan—five out of fourteen ex-republics—as Moscow’s formal allies and ...
... attitude to
their partners’ dreams
of no longer “counteracting one another” but, on the contrary, of working in “close coordination” on the entire current political agenda, including “the Balkans, Ukraine, Belarus, the Caucasus, Russia and Turkey,” of the U.S. “gratefully accepting the EU’s good offices” in order to re-accede to the Iranian deal.
At that point, the shortsightedness of the anti-Trump statements made in Brussels, Paris and Berlin, of their expectations and policies ...
The situation in the province today and Russia’s role in settling conflicts
In October 2020, as the media reported Russia’s Aerospace forces resuming their strikes against the local armed opposition, Turkey relocating its observation posts, and Syrian militants fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh, the global community once again turned its attention to the events in Idlib. It is important to consider possible development scenarios in the light of both Idlib’s ...
... over the Golan Heights. At the same time, Israel should be getting ready for the new administration to put major pressure on it regarding the West Bank settlements. Some changes will certainly be seen in U.S. relations with the Gulf monarchies and with Turkey: the White House will certainly demand results in protecting human rights and it will also create new mechanisms for limiting the influence their lobbyists have in Washington. The Turkish opposition has been greatly inspired by Donald Trump’s ...
... ready to accept the separation of Nagorno-Karabakh, and Russia is entering a new part of the world without knowing if it will ever be able to withdraw from it. This could lead to unpredictable consequences within the Minsk group and in relations with Turkey, which had given diplomatic support to Azerbaijan.
The 1988 CIA report “Unrest in the Caucasus and the Challenge of Nationalism” already mentioned the reasons underlying Moscow's reluctance to intervene in Nagorno-Karabakh, not being able to ...