... those published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists—China possesses roughly six hundred nuclear warheads. Even taking into account its ongoing buildup and the Pentagon’s alarmist projections, which suggest that China could field around one thousand warheads by 2030, this figure still falls well short of the arsenals maintained by the United States and Russia. Claims that China is on the verge of achieving nuclear parity with these powers are therefore exaggerated and will remain so in the ...
The deal may pause Syria-Israel tensions, but core issues like Golan, sovereignty and trust are still missing
As attention in the Middle East continues to gravitate toward unfolding crises in Gaza and the broader Arab-Israeli landscape, a less visible yet potentially consequential development may be quietly emerging between Syria and Israel. Whispers of a limited, U.S.-mediated security agreement between Damascus and Tel Aviv have begun circulating among diplomats and analysts, suggesting the possibility...
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Tehran may well look to the experience of the DPRK
On September 26, 2025, the UN Security Council rejected a proposed resolution on extending the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)
on the Iranian nuclear programme.
Among the permanent members of the UN Security Council, the United States, Great Britain, and France voted against. China and Russia voted in favour. The vote a
week earlier
had the same result. The JCPOA, enshrined in
UN Security Council Resolution 2231
in 2015 proposed the...
No single power rules the world anymore – and that may be a good thing
With the deterrent of guaranteed mutual destruction between Russia and the United States still intact, global politics is entering a new phase of
“normality.”
For the first time in decades, there is no single center setting rules for all. Something older, more pluralistic, and less predictable is emerging – a return to the natural state of international affairs.
One of the least discussed effects of the decline of the liberal...
There are some things that signify entire historical processes and eras
There are some things that signify entire historical processes and eras.
The Berlin Wall is perhaps the most glaring example. What could better symbolize the pision of Europe and the world into two ideologically, militarily, and politically irreconcilable blocs? A massive, technologically advanced fortification, cutting through the soul of a leading city of the Old World. In January 1989, East German leader Erich Honecker proclaimed...
... – scientists, businessmen, journalists, and cultural figures – I have been closely involved in the project “Eastern Turn 2.0, or Siberization of Russia.” Siberians are its main driving force, but its center is in Moscow, partly to avoid the accusations of parochialism and separatism that are often thrown at the Trans Urals development initiatives. But such suspicions are sometimes disingenuous. Some of the elites in our old capitals refuse to admit the obvious: Russia’s more-than-300-year ...
One of the least appreciated consequences of the comparative exhaustion of the liberal economic model that emerged in the last third of the 20th century is the reduction in the ability of Western countries to effectively and rationally dominate international affairs
One of the least appreciated consequences of the comparative exhaustion of the liberal economic model that emerged in the last third of the 20th century is the reduction in the ability of Western countries to effectively and rationally...
The End of U.S. Guarantees? How Recent Attacks Are Redrawing the Persian Gulf’s Power Map
A geostrategic frontier between the Global North and South, the East and West, and the Persian Gulf has always existed. It is situated where vital energy supplies, marine trade, and ideological conflict converge. The Persian Gulf has become a focal point of international interest and attention since the
Arab Spring
uprisings broke out in 2011.
Recent events suggest that tides are changing. Attacks against...
The history of international politics is practically a continuous chain of violence between states. In reality, this violence does not often pursue the goal of complete destruction or subjugation of opponents
Israel is now more isolated than ever, and this is pushing the government of the Jewish state to take desperate measures to achieve relatively broad regional recognition. In such conditions, military action along virtually the entire perimeter of its external environment becomes the only solution...
