... unlikely to be the last—unless the cost of the current invasion proves prohibitive for all parties involved. The situation offers several important lessons for Russia.
Ivan Timofeev:
Military Operation Against Iran: A Realistic Scenario?
Lesson 1: Sanctions are followed by the use of military force
The United States has imposed sanctions on Iran since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. While Iran has withstood this economic pressure, the damage has been significant. It grew further as Washington succeeded ...
..., fearing secondary sanctions. Meanwhile, US allies and partners do not prevent Washington from adding individuals and companies from their jurisdictions to US sanctions lists. For example, since February 2022, the US has applied secondary financial sanctions for ties to Russia against nearly a thousand companies in a wide variety of jurisdictions, from EU countries to post-Soviet states. The largest number of these companies are located in China, the UAE, Turkey, and India. In all cases, secondary sanctions have not caused any noticeable diplomatic ...
... and economic influence in the region will now depend less on ownership of key assets and more on its ability to offer Serbia benefits that outweigh the costs of Western pressure and countermeasures
Belgrade’s reluctant move to comply with American sanctions and force Russia out of its energy industry exposes the real limits of national sovereignty in a world where the United States is asserting its will with increasing disregard for established norms and rules.
The fate of the Serbian company Naftna ...
... NATO, a vast cultural legacy of alliance relations, and close economic ties. Are we witnessing a fluctuation, albeit acute, but reversible? Or are we witnessing a fundamentally new trend that will only manifest itself in the future?
Ivan Timofeev:
New Sanctions as a Political Signal
The relationship between the US and its NATO allies in Europe have experienced multiple crises throughout their history. For example, in 1956, the Suez Crisis erupted following the nationalisation of the Suez Canal by ...
The world is entering a critical phase where the legitimacy of sanctions, the integrity of international law, and the resilience of global energy systems are under scrutiny
The recent imposition of sanctions by the United States on two of Russia’s major oil companies has once again highlighted the counterproductive ...
Ukraine will have to pay the price for the hawks’ triumph
A new wave of sanctions against Russia has captured global attention, with the European Union’s 19
th
package taking centre stage. Brussels had been working on it for a long time; Slovakia blocked its adoption back in late September, and Hungary also voiced objections....
...
https://www.justice.gov/usao-edny/press-release/file/1125036/dl
(accessed: 25.01.2025).
[26]
Huawei Technologies and Huawei Device USA vs. U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement et al. // Internet Archive. October 30, 2020. URL:
https://archive.org/details/gov.... ....dcd.223678
(accessed: 25.01.2025).
[27]
ZTE Corporation Agrees to Plead Guilty and Pay Over $430.4 Million for Violating U.S. Sanctions by Sending U.S.-Origin Items to Iran // U.S. Department of Justice. March 7, 2017. URL:
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/zte-corporation-agrees-plead-guilty-and-pay-over-4304-million-violati....
... States, Great Britain, and France voted against. China and Russia voted in favour. The vote a
week earlier
had the same result. The JCPOA, enshrined in
UN Security Council Resolution 2231
in 2015 proposed the lifting of international and unilateral sanctions against Iran in exchange for the cessation of its military nuclear programme. A vote against the draft resolution extending the JCPOA effectively triggers the UN Security Council's snapback mechanism. Such a development is unlikely to strengthen ...
... Trump's steps have a number of important details. The tariffs on Brazil are almost entirely politically motivated and have little to do with the problem of the US trade deficit. This is not so much about another round of a trade war as about full-fledged sanctions, one of the tools which is changing tariffs. The political background is Brazil's actions to limit American information and political influence on the country and, accordingly, Washington's actions to maintain such influence.
Ivan Timofeev: ...
... Speaking in the Oval Office alongside NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, Trump emphasized that he is “discontented” with Moscow’s unwillingness to compromise and is ready for “extremely tough” measures.
In the meantime, he threatened to increase sanctions pressure on any country “sympathizing with the anti-American course of BRICS,” by introducing an additional 10% tariff on top of the base rates. According to Trump, “there will be no exceptions” for those who support BRICS plans for ...
