... strikes of Operation Epic Fury, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, his advisor and head of the Defence Council Ali Shamkhani, Revolutionary Guard commander General Mohammad Pakapour, Defence Minister Aziz Nasirzadeh, and Chief of Staff Abdolrahim Mousavi.
Ivan Timofeev:
Attack on Iran: A Balance of Results
Following Khamenei's passing, official statements made an effort to highlight the persistence of the Iranian political system's institutions and customs. According to the Iran's Revolutionary ...
... stable position no matter how the situation develops. But ending the conflict is more beneficial for India than continuing it.
Russia
The results of the first round of the campaign are likely to be beneficial to Moscow. The US focus has shifted to the Middle East, and with it, so have its resources. Iran is withstanding the onslaught. Oil and gas prices have soared. Russia’s income may increase, which is important for maintaining macroeconomic stability. Energy shortages provide Russia with political ...
... consensus in Washington is gradually weakening, while the need to remain involved in carrying out military operations in the Middle East accelerates this process. There is also the regional dimension. Any military escalation is like a two-way road, offering ... ... sought to legalise the news settlements and expand old ones, including within the E1 corridor, which de facto separates East Jerusalem from the West Bank. As for the military presence in Gaza, Israel has used the ceasefire as a cover for building new military ...
An attack on Iran would not bring security to the Middle East; it would bring chaos
For the past several weeks, the possibility of a military attack on Iran has dominated political debate, media coverage, and strategic calculations across West Asia. Whether such an attack has been delayed, postponed,...
... and Israel (referred to as the “Trio of Evil” discourse) to establish a strategic foothold in the Red Sea as part of a New Middle East project hostile to Arab interests—now became the all-dominant theme. The Palestinian solidarity campaign, “The ... ... Eilat—significantly disrupting its operations—and concurrently organized fighter-training courses to prepare “hundreds of thousands of Yemenis” for voluntary entry into the war against Israel. Expressions of loyalty to the “leader of the revolution,...
Even if Israel completely abandons the former foundation of its statehood – the “island” of the West in the Middle East – its place in regional affairs will remain unchanged
Even if Israel completely abandons the former foundation of its statehood – the “island” of the West in the Middle East – its place in regional affairs will remain unchanged....
... unpredicted consequences, such as divergent views of Israel and Iran, this is also compelling introspection at a challenging moment for the larger region.
Entanglement or Empowerment? New Security Paradigm for Gulf States
Extra-Regional Actors in the Middle East. RIAC Report
For decades, the fundamental strategic presumption among the Arab states of the Gulf has been that the United States is the ultimate guarantor. Washington has been seen as
key
to the security of the Gulf. The U.S. military presence ...
... the existence of a number of states whose survival depended on the strategic interests of the United States rather than on their ability to establish relations with their neighbours.
The ongoing escalation of violence in inter-state relations in the Middle East underscores how little its main driver, Israel, is able to influence its neighbours. Despite having diplomatic relations with most of them, the Israeli government does not appear capable of solving its pressing problems without resorting to ...
... the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), are not getting any easier. Misunderstandings in relations between Russia and Azerbaijan are, of course, completely incomparable in scale with the crisis in the Middle East. However, they also indicate that the southern part of the Eurasian space is searching for its place in international politics.
The protracted military-political crisis in relations between Russia and the West, as well as the general uncertainty ...
... weak. As a result, it seems that Europe's approach to Iran, which has been deteriorating since President Trump cancelled the Lausanne Agreement during his first term, is coming to an end. A more defensive approach that emphasizes containment, sanctions,... ... reliant on the US, especially in terms of regional policies. European concerns about relying excessively on US leadership in the Middle East are predicted to grow as a result of the crisis. Despite the lack of agreement and ability at the EU level, calls ...
