External political factors may have a growing influence on Russian-Chinese economic relations
Economic relations between Russia and China remain high. Beijing has become Moscow's most important trading partner, and in the context of Western sanctions, it has also become an alternative source of industrial and consumer goods, as well as the largest market for Russian energy and other raw materials. At the same time, external political factors may have a growing influence on Russian-Chinese economic...
What Iran’s 12-Day Conflict Reveals About Modern Deterrence and Regional Power Shifts
The following paper explores the military and strategic dimensions of Iran’s 12-Day War—a brief yet consequential conflict that has left a lasting imprint on regional security and the broader international order. Despite its limited duration, the conflict marked a pivotal moment in Middle Eastern geopolitics, challenging established assumptions about deterrence, power projection, and the evolving nature of warfare...
Strategically, Russia has little to gain and a lot to lose in case the crisis goes deeper
In the early morning of June 24 US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran after twelve days of intense airstrikes. The United States itself actively participated in this escalation cycle by hitting three major Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan on June 22. Though the American leader claimed that the US actions inflicted irreparable damage on the Iranian nuclear...
Interview for the Iran Student Correspondents Association
Interview for the Iran Student Correspondents Association.
Israel’s history shows that it should not be trusted at all and that there is a possibility of a ceasefire violation by them. The experience of Lebanon and Gaza also shows the same. What is your opinion in this regard?
Some of the recent statements made by the Israeli leadership give reasons to believe that the ultimate goal of Israel is not limited to inflicting the maximum damage...
Trump’s decision to ease sanctions on Gazprombank is a short-term transaction, not a sign of broader normalization
Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto has announced that US President Donald Trump has lifted financial sanctions against Russia that had blocked Rosatom from continuing construction of the Paks Nuclear Power Plant 2 in Hungary. Although the Biden administration’s sanctions late last year were formally directed at Moscow, Budapest arguably suffered the most, since the two new...
A moment of “mutual deterrence” within a fragile balance
Following President Donald Trump's announcement of a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, many questions remain about the durability of such an arrangement after years of proxy conflict—culminating recently in a direct 12-day aerial exchange of fire.
The nature of the agreement itself remains shrouded in ambiguity. Trump has yet to disclose the terms accepted by the Iranian and Israeli sides, and it is still unclear whether Washington...
The recent U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure mark a notable recalibration of Washington’s Middle East policy
The recent U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure mark a notable recalibration of Washington’s Middle East policy. In recent years, the United States has sought to avoid direct involvement in armed conflicts. While maintaining a military presence and alliances with most regional actors, Washington aimed to reduce costs and redirect resources toward other strategic priorities...
... a
“presidential transition”
occurs overnight, Vice President J.D. Vance may commit US forces directly to Israel’s ongoing bombardment of Iran.
But let’s game out another scenario: If the current conflict escalates and the Temple Mount in Jerusalem is destroyed—whether by design or by accident—Iran will almost certainly be blamed for the loss of Islam’s third holiest site. Such an event would enrage the Sunni Muslim world, redirecting its fury toward Shia Iran, and potentially paving ...
Denis Zlobin, Master’s degree student, Basic Department of Institute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, HSE University
Source: AI generated
Trumponomics…Frankly speaking, it should be considered the potential development of events in the United States, assuming that the main vector of the country's economic policy will be tramponomics.
Taking into account what tramponomics is, it is worth piding it into two components...
Authors:
Vera Lutsenko, Master’s degree student, Basic Department of Institute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, HSE University
Klim Fot, Master’s degree student, Basic Department of Institute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs, HSE University
Source: Reuters
In the context of growing geopolitical turbulence between 2017 and 2024...
