Search: Scenarios,Ukraine (12 materials)

 

Restoration, Reformation, Revolution? Blueprints for the World Order after the Russia-Ukraine conflict

... integration, which could also be conducive to increased popularity of radical nationalism. If a shaky balance between the sides does emerge in the Ukrainian conflict, the balance in global politics will be inevitably breached. If preserving the status quo in Ukraine can be seen as the West’s victory, then in a broader international context, this victory will inevitably prove pyrrhic [ 90 ]. Compared to two other scenarios, the revolution scenario envisions a far more radical and far more chaotic transformation of the international system already in the nearest years. A revolution in global politics essentially means a total collapse of the current global order,...

11.05.2022

Why Experts Believed an Armed Conflict with Ukraine Would Never Happen

... far outweigh the benefits, which is what underlies our bleak assessment of the current scenario Most experts, both in Russia and abroad, thought it was extremely unlikely and implausible that Russia would launch a full-scale military operation in Ukraine. Allegations that Moscow was preparing for something like this were laughed off, with this being labeled as another Russophobic campaign pushed by propagandists and radicals. However, it turned out on February 24 that the Russophobes had been ...

04.03.2022

Ukrainian Crisis: Political Economy of Confrontation

.... The region has received large-scale investments and the level of its development, according to several parameters, is higher today, despite the existing sanctions. In other words, further territorial expansion can be viewed in Moscow as one of the scenarios. However, an open war with Ukraine will not solve the existing security problems, even if new territories are under control. The economic cost of the war may be simply unacceptable due to qualitatively new sanctions, including bans on the purchase of Russian oil. But Russia is ...

11.01.2022

War Between Russia and Ukraine: A Basic Scenario?

The costs of a possible war between Russia and Ukraine far outweigh the benefits. The question arises—to whom and under what conditions is this scenario beneficial? Concern is growing in the Western media over Russian military activity in the southwestern theatre. There are opinions that Russia ...

25.11.2021

Sanctions Against Russia: A Look Into 2020

... individual companies and projects. The risk of new sanctions stems from a series of political factors: the Ukrainian crisis and conflict in Donbass, the U.S. elections and the alleged meddling, the developments in the Middle East, etc. — Regarding Ukraine, the crisis has noticeably stabilized. However, we should not expect any significant breakthroughs in terms of compliance with the Minsk Agreements in the coming year. The stabilization of the situation in Donbass significantly decreases the risk ...

22.05.2020

A View from Moscow on Ukraine's Presidential Vote

... eyes of many Russians. The attitude of the Russian political elite toward the election campaign in Ukraine also varies from neutral to a sceptical one, as I will further illustrate in this article. What does Moscow want? Andrey Kortunov: Russia and Ukraine: Four Scenarios for the Future The overall expectation is that Russia is going to intervene in Ukrainian elections and push for a more pro-Russian candidate. This strategy was used for the first time in 2004 during the “Orange Revolution” and proved its ...

28.03.2019

Russia and Ukraine: Four Scenarios for the Future

... on the contrary, to actively promote cooperation between Russia and Ukraine. The West will find it very hard, if not impossible, to ensure Ukraine’s economic prosperity entirely on its own, without Russia. Are there Grounds for Optimism? Foresight Ukraine: 4 Scenarios for the Development of Ukraine How feasible is the preferable scenario of the “European Bridge”? The above-listed changes to the basic concepts of the three sides to the Ukrainian conflict will certainly appear painful, vulnerable to criticism ...

27.11.2018

Foresight Ukraine: 4 Scenarios for the Development of Ukraine

On 20th of February Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) together with the FES Regional Office for Cooperation and Peace in Europe (Vienna) held the presentation on the outcomes of the project "Foresight Ukraine. Four scenarios for the development of Ukraine". On 20th of February Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) together with the FES Regional Office for Cooperation and Peace in Europe (Vienna) held the presentation on the outcomes of the project ...

22.02.2018

International Expert Group Lays out Ukraine’s Future Scenarios in Berlin

On November 8 in Berlin Friedrich Ebert Stiftung headquarters hosted a presentation of the report on Ukraine’s future scenarios prepared by an international group of experts in 2016-2017. On November 8 in Berlin Friedrich Ebert Stiftung headquarters hosted a presentation of the report on Ukraine’s future scenarios prepared by an international group of experts in ...

09.11.2017

Russia and Ukraine: A Corridor of Opportunities

... Nikolskyi/RIA Novosti/Kremlin Ukraine's President Petro Poroshenko talks with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, as France's President Francois Hollande watches during a meeting in Milan October 17, 2014 Decentralization and Compromise Of all the possible scenarios, this is the least likely to be achieved – especially following the G20 Summit in Brisbane and the introduction by Ukraine of an economic blockade in Donbass, and even taking into account the views expressed by President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin in an interview following the Summit about the federalization of Donbass and Lugansk. http://www.rg.ru/sujet/4558 ...

21.11.2014
 

Poll conducted

  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
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