... years ago, I attended a small public conference where a representative of the NATO Secretariat was speaking. It was a time of internal turmoil in Pakistan. I asked a question: which country does NATO consider to be a greater threat, Pakistan, which has nuclear weapons, or Iran, which does not. He thought for a while and said: I still think it’s Iran. I asked why. He said because nobody in Pakistan, neither the government, nor the opposition, had claimed that they would destroy another country, while ...
... crumble too, as it is looking dangerously unlikely that the bare minimum of extending the agreement will be achieved. It is time we started preparing ourselves for the possibility of waking up in March 2021 in a world where there are no restrictions on nuclear weapons.
The potential disintegration of New START would not be catastrophic for Russia, all the more so because the country could derive some benefit from the “inter-treaty” period and approach the next, and hopefully inevitable, stage of ...
... leaving its multilateral dimension intact. The energy of disintegration is bound to spill over the framework of bilateral relations and this is already happening before our eyes. Washington has launched a campaign accusing Moscow of conducting secret nuclear weapons tests. Thus, the future of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty that has been signed but not ratified by the US up to now is called into question. It is perfectly obvious that if the nuclear arms race accelerates with the production ...
European Think Tanks reflect on the challenges of emerging military technologies
The following points are the fruit of a particularly rich and constructive
roundtable meeting
in Istanbul on 8-9 April of the Task Force on Cooperation in Greater Europe. The points are intended as material for policy discussion by Task Force participants with their authorities not definitive research. But we believe that they offer a useful perspective on the challenges presented by emerging military technologies...
... regime?
At the beginning of the 21st century, we were able to talk with some confidence about the obvious success of the nuclear non-proliferation regime, the foundations of which had been laid by the signing of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (Non-Proliferation Treaty, or
NPT
). Back in the 1960s, the expert community was extremely critical of the regime that was being established, predicting that by the turn of the century, some
30 countries
would possess nuclear weapons....
... nuclear component. Such technologies are used or planned for use in order to optimize logistics, improve the efficiency of material and technical services, enhance the capabilities of the Missile Attack Warning System, and increase the sustainability of nuclear weapons control circuits, up to and including direct combat operations. It is difficult to talk about any external restrictions in such conditions, however communication about intentions between the various actors involved in introducing AIMA ...
... Peninsula have two main components. Today, the greatest emphasis is placed on North Korea’s nuclear crisis stemming from the North Korean leadership implementing their nuclear missile program in violation of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Yet there is another component, the inter-Korean crisis, with the Korean nation being split into two separate states for over 70 years. These crises are inter-related, but their mutual influence is not straightforward. Should Pyongyang ...
The possibility of countries like Russia and the United States negotiating a new arms control treaty will be nearly impossible considering the current geopolitical conditions, Russian International Affairs Council President and former Russian FM Igor Ivanov said during a panel discussion on US-Russia strategic relations.
The possibility of countries like Russia and the United States negotiating a new arms control treaty will be nearly impossible considering the current geopolitical conditions,...
... by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG)
Statement by the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG)
We have crossed over to a new nuclear era in which cyber capabilities transform the nuclear risks. A successful cyberattack on nuclear weapons or related systems—including nuclear planning systems, early warning systems, communication systems, and delivery systems, in addition to the nuclear weapons themselves — could have catastrophic consequences.
Bilateral and multilateral ...
... Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms. “Almost 99.9% that it will not be renewed. There is no reason to talk about a new treaty,” said Zolotarev.
The speaker underscored the very vague prospects of The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: “While Russia and the U.S. were engaged in maintaining strategic stability in a bilateral format discussing whether we could destroy each other or not, the world acquired three new nuclear powers. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation ...
