Subject:

Asia Confronts the Credibility Dilemma of U.S. Security Guarantees

RIAC and SVI Policy Brief #65 / 2026

The Rise of Regional Orders

Escalation would trigger regressive inflation, mass job losses, and a deepening political fracture. Who bears the cost?

The Gulf monarchies are not choosing Ukraine over Russia. They are adding Ukraine to a widening portfolio of security, technology and diplomatic options

The evolution of Middle Eastern security dynamics has proven that traditional economic and military measures of power are no longer sufficient to guarantee strategic dominance

Dmitriy Trenin’s Interview with LIMES

The ongoing negotiations with Iran are taking place amidst political and institutional fragmentation, making it difficult to reach a final decision and complicating smooth communication with influential figures within the Iranian political landscape

The more the United States strikes at the “tar-baby” of its global hegemony, the more this drives it into costly enterprises, both financially and reputationally

Donald Trump sees himself among a line of historical figures in which foreign-policy gestures of punitive, yet “just”, power cohere into a single narrative

Now we find ourselves at a stage where the very paradigm of security has become obsolete