... managing future escalation risks, which have been exacerbated by the ongoing conflict and are only likely to increase in its aftermath, both Russia and the U.S. may want, at some point, to return to some forms of recurrent bilateral interactions. Although Russia has rejected the recent U.S. proposal to
resum
e systematic dialogue on strategic stability and arms control, both states should continue to seek other opportunities—whether as a track-1.5 format or a less formalized dialogue between officials—to begin bridging the gap between conceptual understandings of military capabilities,...
... 2022: 355-368]. However, until recently, tactical nuclear weapons did not feature in Russia’s official documents and declarations.
There is another paradox of nuclear deterrence associated with the phenomenon of limited nuclear war. The enhancement of strategic stability [
37
] through the START treaties and some weapons programs of Russia and the United States since the early 1990s has made a first nuclear strike at the strategic level impossible, as both sides have lost the ability to launch a disarming attack and avoid unacceptable damage from retaliation. In addition, at the ...
... yet, it materialized. Maybe it is time to break down the habitual scheme of things?
Aleksey Arbatov:
The Ukrainian Crisis and Strategic Stability
Regardless of the motives behind this proposal, it requires rational reflection, considering the fundamental ... ... possible end of everything for everyone. It seems that the preemptive use of nuclear weapons will not solve the issues between Russia and the West. It will significantly aggravate Russia’s international position, not to mention the risks of escalation ...
... dialogue between the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ISCRAN) and CISAC was held
On May 16, 2023, a regular meeting of the bilateral expert Russian-American dialogue between the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ISCRAN) and CISAC was held.
The discussion focused on the impact of missile defense systems development on strategic stability, as well as possible coordinated actions of the member states of the "Nuclear Club" (P5) to reduce the risks of nuclear war. The event was hosted by Sergey Rogov, Academic Director of RAS Institute for the U.S. and Canadian ...
... and International Affairs at Harvard University, held a regular online international high-level expert round table, dedicated to the trends in the development of world politics in the context of acute recent crises.
The session addressed the issues of strategic stability in the face of the collapse of the former bilateral Russia-the U.S. system of control over strategic arms, the threat of the proliferation of nuclear weapons, and other types of weapons of mass destruction. The possibilities of agreeing on multilateral confidence-building measures in the nuclear sphere ...
On March 21, 2023, a regular ISKRAN and CISAC meeting, the bilateral expert Russian-American dialogue, was held
On March 21, 2023, a regular ISKRAN and CISAC meeting, the bilateral expert Russian-American dialogue, was held.
The discussion focused on the factors influencing the dynamics of strategic stability in the context of acute regional crises, the ongoing nuclear arms race, the aggravation of the challenges of non-proliferation of nuclear weapons, and the lack of full-fledged communications between nuclear powers. The event was hosted ...
... round table discussion on security issues was held within the framework of RIAC project “A New Agenda for Russia–UK Relations”, implemented in partnership with the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI).
The round table focused on the issues of strategic stability between Russia and the U.S., Russia and NATO member states in the context of the conflict in Ukraine. The risks of confrontation between Russia and NATO in the conflict setting and the levels of risk management efficiency were analyzed.
A separate session was ...
Working Paper No. 68/2022
Working Paper No. 68/2022
The first atomic bomb was designed almost eight decades ago. Since then, the nuclear factor has become one of the game-changers in international relations. The possession of nuclear weapons has become especially important in modern times, as discussions of the fatal destructiveness the use of atomic weapons for all mankind have reintensified. There is increasing speculation on this topic in the international arena. Nevertheless, there is no doubt...
... United States, the U.S. response should soon be expected.
The element of confrontation between the U.S. and China, the decision made by the UK to increase the number of deployed nuclear weapons of its own, as well as the aggravation of relations between Russia and the United States, together with the dialogue on strategic stability put on hold, usher in a new stage in the nuclear arms race in the world. Perhaps, this stressful situation will lead to a new multilateral arms control system.
At the doctrinal level, the United States has already indicated a transition ...
... Ukrainian conflict became the acutest and potentially bloodiest crisis in Europe since 1945, it revived the real threat of a nuclear war that seemed to have been completely eliminated in the early 1990s, and it deeply wrecked political foundation of Russia–U.S. strategic stability.
Politics And Stability
Andrey Kortunov:
Three Scenarios for the End of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Half a century of practical control over nuclear weapons have convincingly demonstrated that talks in this area can limit the intensity ...
