... current geopolitical trends push the world in the opposite direction. The exact costs of this movement depend on many independent variables, in particular, on how long the Russia-West conflict may last for and on how comprehensive and radical the US-China strategic decoupling is going to be.
In any case, in 2035 we should be ready to confront a world with lower economic growth, less social cohesion, more explicit and more damaging climate change and environmental problems, more fierce competition for natural resources and more immediate security challenges—both ...
... why choose the impossible route?
To add, it will be interesting to see how states react to China on a geopolitical level in respect to environment and if they will use it as an argument to limit the economic expansion of this shadowing giant. As by 2035 China’s per capita CO2 emissions will overtake the entire OECD (by 2030 it will overtake entire EU), thus making it hardly acceptable for China to argue that its economy is still developing – which granted it effectively a free pass in the ...
... LNG import decline by 19% since shale inception. Impressively, by 2015 the overall energy figure should increase to 43% and by 2035 to 60% – if correct, making US the leading gas producers in the whole world, although that is a very high target.
... ... - as many in the US argue it should be aimed predominantly at the home market.
Non-US Shale Progress (Europe and Asia):
China is eager to jump on the Shale Revolution and aims to produce 100 billion cubic meters by 2015. Firms like Shell, Chevron,...
... opportunity cost for the next stage of efficiency is too high. Lastly, in regards to developing economies the demand is expected to boom, with 85% of the global growth in oil and gas expected from them. Numerically, with Asia adding most of the growth (i.e. China), demand is expected to grow from 400bcm to around 1200bcm by 2035, in contrast to the almost non-existent growth in Europe or the developed world.
- Developing Countries are Under Pressure:
A harmony must exist between infrastructural, legal and political foundations, before a state can capitalise on its energy ...
