... surpassing the last defense budget of Donald Trump. It is inevitable that the U.S. will press forward to modernize its nuclear triad. Russia to a large extent has already done so. It is a reverse situation in comparison to the Cold War era. This time NATO has ... ... coordinate their efforts in stemming proliferation in the Korean peninsula, and the less they work on the return of the U.S. to the JCPOA. Meanwhile Iran is raising the enrichment of uranium to 60 percent.
Is there a chance that in present circumstances the ...
Russia’s position on topical issues of global security and notes the most important obstacles to disarmament and nonproliferation
... ... or destruction efforts. The INF Treaty has been destroyed by the U.S. The future of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the Iranian nuclear programme remains unclear. We see again and again shamelessly open attempts to use the NPT as an ...
... so that Iran’s SCO membership could be finalized. Besides, throughout this year, Russia has repeatedly
urged
to endorse Iran’s bid for SCO membership.
Intrinsic Motivation... ... amid stalled negotiations on restoring the nuclear deal. Technically, reviving the JCPOA
remains valuable
for Tehran and Washington, which both sides confirm every now... ... demarche that the prospects for new agreements are increasingly elusive.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA-Iran: Why Is the Deal Stalled?
All the more so since Iran is demanding security...
... from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2018, renewing massive economic sanctions against Iran. The subsequent extraterritorial application of US sanctions forced a significant number of foreign companies to leave Iran.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA vs. JCPOA: How Can Russia and China Respond?
Companies from the EU have suffered the most. Moreover, during the presidency of Donald Trump, the volume of restrictive measures against Iran was increased by Presidential Executive Orders No. 13846, 13871, 13876, 13902 and ...
... planes (Lockheed C-130 Hercules, Lockheed C-5 Galaxy, or В-52). Once finished, the base will let the US easily send several thousands of soldiers or PMC fighters to Syria overnight, handing it an opportunity to rapidly build up its military presence and ... ... moderating the Turkish-Kurdish agreement. Such steps can potentially change the course of the conflict, thus profoundly affecting Russian positions in Syria.
Similar logic applies to the US policy towards Iran and to the revival of the JCPOA. Washington would very much like to tie the nuclear deal to other issues of concern, such as Iran’s ballistic missile ...
Russia has accumulated a number of “toxic assets”, which could potentially become a reason for new sanctions
The Biden administration ... ..., energy and a number of other sectors of the Iranian economy. It is likely that Biden will attempt to return America to the JCPOA. This will not be easy. The big question is: what will happen to Trump’s sanctions legacy? Will the sanctions be lifted,...
... of a US-Iran war remain persistent throughout 2021. First, both sides’ violation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) has complicated the resolution of the nuclear crisis with a face-saving option, raising the chance of failure. Second, ... ... US-Iran tensions a potential to easily evolve into a military engagement. What would be the implications of such a scenario for Russia? Will the fallout of a US-Iran war in the Middle East push Russia to rush in with a more active mediation effort? Or will ...
... Unlike Zarif’s close
collaboration
with Russia, for example, Moscow hasn’t hastened to get his signature on the revised version of the
Russia-Iran 2001 treaty
, which includes cooperation principles on a wide variety of fields.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA vs. JCPOA: How Can Russia and China Respond?
However, critics will seek more progressive contributions to their “resistance” discourse by Russia. As the U.S. and Europe move beyond the JCPOA and address the Islamic Republic’s missile program and regional activities,...
... into the United States-Mexico-Canada-Agreement (USMCA),
pulling
the U.S. out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) negotiations, and even refusing to extend New START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) or negotiate a new disarmament treaty with the Russian Federation.
On top of that, Trump’s administration and foreign policy pulled the U.S. away from the world stage. For example, the
U.S. pulled out
of the landmark Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JPCOA) which would have put measures in place ...
... Tehran could be met with a number of problems, and the assassination of the Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh can have another negative impact on the future potential agreement between the US and Iran.
New deal, new terms?
Ivan Timofeev:
USA vs. JCPOA: How Can Russia and China Respond?
It is presumed that many decisions in the administration of J. Biden will be made and implemented by his advisors and confidants from the Democratic Party. Jake Sullivan, Biden’s future national security advisor, said: “I ...