... security. If such guarantees take the form of Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, any drone attack would draw the guarantors into a conflict with a nuclear power, with the potential for the use of all available weapons. Any allied commitments to Ukraine on the part of Western countries could be balanced by a clear and open protocol for retaliatory military-technical actions. Russian diplomacy is also unlikely to soften on issues such as the size of the Ukrainian army, the status of the Russian language, and other matters.
Another possible consequence is the growing perception of the Ukrainian government as an obstacle to peace.
This ...
... settlement or hold free and fair elections. A newly elected, legitimate president may be able to sit at the negotiating table with Russia and end the hostilities once and for all.
The Need for a Peaceful Resolution
The ongoing military conflict has resulted ... ... sides. It is imperative that a resolution is reached as soon as possible. Zelenskyy’s war-driven approach is not only harming Ukraine but also destabilizing the entire region. A pragmatic leader would prioritize diplomacy over conflict, seeking to secure a future of stability and peace.
The world must encourage a diplomatic settlement that ...
... problems of European security that gave rise to the Ukraine crisis. Trump has declared that it is desirable to end the conflict in Ukraine, but he is unlikely to want to reach broader agreements with Moscow in terms of European security. Unlike the USSR, Russia is simply not perceived as a party with which new principles can be established on an equal basis or with which Moscow's demands on this issue at the end of 2021 can be seriously taken into account.
American diplomacy will probably try to stop the conflict by offering mutual exchanges and concessions. Even if the parties manage to reach ...
... excluded, as partly demonstrated by the international meeting in Jeddah in August 2023.
The Global South embarks upon the path of diplomacy
In August, it became known about the consultations held in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, with the participation of the U.S.,... ... Brazil, India, China and South Africa on the settlement of the Ukrainian conflict. It is noteworthy that representatives of Ukraine attended the meeting, while Russia did not receive an invitation. It became known from open sources that during the event Saudi Arabia
shared
its own ideas ...
... transformation stage some 10 years ago, anticipating global changes in the overall international system. As a global leader in the number of conflicts and potential crises, nations of the Middle East know the price of the current changes and strive to use diplomacy, mediation, and pragmatism to mitigate crises, including in the conflict in Ukraine.
Mediators
Aleksandr Aksenenok:
U.S. Policy Case for Middle East under New Conditions
On September 21–22, Russia and Ukraine exchanged the largest number of POWs since the conflict’s escalation in February 2022, and the parties stroke a deal in July opening Ukrainian ports for grain exports. Both diplomatic breakthroughs were made possible by good offices ...
... Issue 3
(July-September 2022).
This is a new and expanded version of the article. For an earlier version see, Kortunov, Andrey. “India-Pakistan and Russia-Ukraine: What If We Compare the Two?” Modern Diplomacy, October 30, 2021.
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2021/10/30/india-pakistan-and-russia-ukraine-what-if-we-compare-the-two/
.
... platform for geopolitical confrontation between Russia and the West, a “no man's land”, an eternal “Wild Field”, which possesses no destiny of its own and has neither national sovereignty nor national identity.
Hawk’s peck
The emphasis on diplomacy means Russia’s readiness to limit itself to the already well-known set of specific and generally negotiable demands on Kiev, including Ukraine’s abstention from attempts to join NATO, certain restrictions imposed on the offensive capabilities of the Ukrainian armed forces, legislative measures taken to counter radical ethnic nationalism and other forms of political extremism, ensuring ...
Russia has only temporarily captured China’s seemingly entrenched role as a major ... ... are living through times of change. Russia has started a “special operation” in Ukraine, and the West can do little or nothing. Impotence is always a difficult thing... ... This also puts some break on “financial sanctions”.
Andrey Kortunov:
The end of diplomacy? Seven Glimpses of the New Normal
If Russia cannot get paid for gas, and...
Numerous visits of Western leaders to Moscow on the eve of the crisis are among the foreign policy failures, and the Russian side failed to persuade anything, with political and diplomatic compromise considered unattainable
Moscow: Historians ... ... increasing policy coordination both within the Alliance and within the European Union as well as military-technical assistance to Ukraine, while consistently attacking Russia in a variety of international settings ranging from the UN General Assembly to OSCE ...
... we need Europe to abandon its position of providing total cover for everything that Ukraine does. I am hoping that the new leadership in Kiev will use the chance it has... ... of this resolution. Do you think there is a possibility of actualising it? What can Russia do to create such a sphere of regional dialogue?
Sergey Lavrov:
These questions... ... opening remarks that this plan is a remarkable achievement when it comes to global diplomacy. It has not only helped us ease tension around a particular country, but it...
