... well. The European Union volunteered to be a mediator in the negotiations, but at the end of February Iran refused an informal meeting with the US, mediated by the head of EU diplomacy, Josep Borrell.
Ivan Timofeev:
What to Do with Extraterritorial Sanctions? EU Responses
The Russian position on the JCPOA suggests the following. First, Moscow welcomes the very fact of a return to negotiations. Second, Russia insists on the need to separate nuclear issues from other topics. Otherwise, the possibility of reaching any compromises becomes extremely doubtful....
... formulated a final opinion on the recent hacking of government electronic systems and Russia’s role in these events.
Positive progress is possible with respect to Iran... ... diplomacy—the Iranian nuclear deal. Trump not only returned all previously lifted sanctions against Tehran, but also significantly increased pressure on the financial... ... the Iranian economy. It is likely that Biden will attempt to return America to the JCPOA. This will not be easy. The big question is: what will happen to Trump’s sanctions...
... balance the American policy towards them.
But the most serious headache for the Saudis in the context of the restoration of the JCPOA and the lifting sanctions on Iran is the oil market. As soon as Iran gets the opportunity to sell its oil, it will dramatically increase its market share. This will lower oil prices, as well as compel exporters to reduce their production. OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, will be forced to take additional measures to stabilize the market in the face of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and ...
... respect to the conventional arms activities of Iran”) imposing sanctions on any individual or legal entity engaged in the supply, sale or transfer of conventional weapons and their components to Tehran. The document allows the United States to impose sanctions on any state involved in the arms trade with Iran. The US approach is not shared by other participants in the JCPOA, in particular, Russia and China, which regard the Iranian arms market as rather promising.
Dmitriy Kiku, Ivan Timofeev:
US Left Isolated, Iran Nuclear Deal Under Threat: What Will Crisis Over Iran in UN Security Council Lead to?
The expiration of a five-year embargo ...
... behavior can put the international community against it.
Iran is also aware that Trump's main goal is to force it to withdraw from JCPOA (in reaction to a possible extension of arms embargo), in order to put various powers, like Russia and China, on its side, against Iran. With this in mind, Iran is unlikely to engage in radical behavior, even if the embargo is extended.
While financing new arms purchases in the face of declining oil revenues due to sanctions and the global coronavirus clampdown seems difficult, Iran's experience in circumventing sanctions and advancing its ...
... Ever
Washington’s desire to “update” the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), through a policy of “maximum pressure” against Iran, failed to capture explicit... ... remained politically committed to the “Nuclear Deal”. Nevertheless, in obedience to US sanctions, E3 showed their inability to oppose the United States or lobby for a solution... ... transportation and naval escort to tankers, which has a negative impact on the market.
Russia: watching from the sidelines
For Russia, the US withdrawal from the “nuclear...
The new sanctions war against Iran has been unleashed, and there is no way of stopping it
... ... Iran would be effective. By withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the Iranian nuclear program, the United States dealt a heavy blow to multilateral... ... Timofeev is Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club, Director of Programs at Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC).
First published in
Valdai Discussion...
... approach with increased military, diplomatic and economic pressure on the Islamic Republic. The White House walked out of the JCPOA, introduced new and tough sanctions against Tehran, and started energetically building a broad anti-Iran coalition in the region.
As might be expected, ... ... of non-regional great powers. Since the US under Donald Trump seems to only have sticks at its disposal, it is up to Europe, Russia and China to deal with the deficit of carrots - albeit without being complacent towards Iranian policies.
Three sets of ...
... to use national currencies in mutual payments due to the United States reinstating sanctions against Iran. The Minister mentioned cooperation in several areas, such as... ... rebuilding Syria, for which Iran has no money.
Tehran is forced to act with regard to Russia and China’s support, given the unwillingness of European investors to invest... ... companies in communications control.
***
Despite the critical situation surrounding the JCPOA, which further deepens Iran’s domestic political crisis, Tehran is still determined...
... better understanding on how Iranian perception of JCPOA is shaping.
Concept of "Effects" in JCPOA
RIAC Report “Russia-Iran Partnership: an
Overview and Prospects for the Future”
JCPOA’s final document introduces the concept of "Effects" as one of its main considerations. Effects are interpreted ... ... weapon capabilities in Iran's nuclear program. In Iranian view, effect sought is assurance of gaining full economic benefit from sanctions relief. JCPOA will be prolonged if these two effects are met simultaneously on both sides. On E3/EU+3 side, there are ...
