... to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation each of them.
Restoration, reformation, revolution? Scenarios of the world order after the Russian–Ukrainian conflict
, 2.7 Mb
... frighteningly wide. This is a bad symptom in itself, showing that the speed of change is so high that its reflection fails to catch up with it. As such, adequate political decisionmaking is lagging behind as well.
From here, we will attempt to outline possible scenarios in which the world order transitions to new ‘stationary states’ with more or less stable rules that introduce a new logic to international relations.
Scenario 1. Liberal Order: An Attempt of Adaptation
Igor Ivanov:
Like Grass through Asphalt
There is no doubt ...