... from a parliamentary republic toward personalist rule, where the executive disregards the separation of powers and consolidates real authority in the hands of a few.
Future political landscape: possible scenarios
The future of the political system in Ukraine remains uncertain and depends on several factors, including the course of the conflict, the stance of Western partners and the readiness of Ukrainian society to return to legal and democratic procedures. Three scenarios seem possible.
First, institutionalized authoritarianism.
The current power structure with an outsized role of the president’s office would be kept in place; there would be stage-managed ...
... brother nations. All the more bitter is the long history of discrimination against Russian minorities in Ukraine, which should not be ignored.[12] Discrimination that has so far prevented an urgently needed harmony in Ukraine.
However the conflict ends, Ukraine is still a long way from becoming a pluralistic society, which it needs to be in order to secure peace in the long term. The aim must be to integrate the Russians living in Ukraine, the Russian-speaking population and Russophile Ukrainians in order to create a common new identity or revive the old ...
... the current administration. Political continuity has been disrupted, as evidenced by sanctions not only against the pre-Maidan leadership but also against former President Petro Poroshenko and the 2014 revolutionaries. The inherent vulnerabilities of Ukraine’s political system, present since the country’s independence, may resurface with renewed intensity.
Andrey Kortunov:
A Failed Journey to the West
The state of Ukrainian society adds another layer of complexity. Fatigue from prolonged military action, frustration with losses, and disillusionment with Western partners are taking their toll. Society has yet to grapple with the full impact of post-traumatic stress disorder....
... privately (i.e., through agreements between state and church elites), outside of public legislation, avoiding polarization of society and discrimination. Pope Francis also implicitly invokes the idea of the “common good” (“those who truly pray always ... ... religious leaders, however, does not translate into economic sanctions (and possibly obviates the need for them). The suggestion for Ukraine is to abandon coercive tactics and simply return to the path it had followed for the past three decades, when it was considered ...
Today, the Russian society is in a state of extreme excitement and even exaltation. But public sentiments can and should be managed
The interim ... ... prospects for an early Putin-Zelensky meeting, trying to envisage appropriate mechanisms for multilateral security guarantees to Ukraine (as much as to Russia), agreeing on potential compromises on territorial issues and even about blueprints for the post-conflict ...
... Carnegie Moscow’s Director, Dimitri Trenin,
argues
, and Poland is to be found among the countries most fiercely lobbying for Ukraine’s
membership
in NATO—a move which not only risks escalating tensions with Russia but also has a great potential of ... ... backwardness stigma.
In doing so, the ‘
shock therapy
’ reforms were injected into the newly formed fabric of the Polish society, aiming to ‘Europeanize’ Poland.
The understandable desire to catch up with the Western neighbours resulted in implementing ...
Joint Report of the Institute of Law and Public Policy (Russia), Inmedio (Germany), and the Centre of Public Initiatives — Ideas for Change (Ukraine)
Joint Report of the Institute of Law and Public Policy (Russia), Inmedio (Germany), and the Centre of Public Initiatives — Ideas for Change (Ukraine)
The report “Gaps and Overlaps: Navigating through Contested German-Russian-Ukrainian ...
... the peaceful resolution of conflicts. The main message of the report was the call for politicians of European countries to “wake up” and responsibly form a political strategy in a situation when international tension is increasing.
An expert from Ukraine Nikolay Kapitonenko, Associate Professor at the Institute of International Relations of Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University, Director of the Center for International Relations Research, underscored the fact that conflicts often represent ...
... documented list like that from Russia.
Russia appears to not have an understanding of the national interest at all.
Is the Russian society able to analyze the national interests and what do you expect from the project?
On the one hand, I expect being able to ... ... the use of not just standard economic and military tools but also information assets.
Both the outbreak and deepening of the Ukraine crisis are absolutely contrary to Russia's interests.
Could you predict the outcome of the Ukraine crisis? Is there a ...
