Europe and Russia: Four Scenarios for the New Cycle

... a matrix containing four quadrants; each of them stands for a scenario of the future EU — Russia relationship. Each of the scenarios has its logic, its driving forces, its limitations and its likely implications for both sides. Igor Ivanov: Russia’s ... ... relationship grows over time. More generally, international influence and statue of both the European Union and Russia go down. “New Cold War” (strong Europe, no reforms in Russia) . This scenario implies a steady change of balance between the two sides in ...