The possibility that decisions about the use of nuclear weapons will be influenced by information and communication technologies (ICTs) is the most serious threat that exists today.
Strategic stability is once again becoming a primary concern in international relations. The topic has received a great deal of attention of late, mainly because of the steady erosion of the reduction and limitation regime: the United States has now withdrawn ...
... States should focus on preparations for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Withdrawal from the INF Treaty and, more importantly, refusal to extend the New START Treaty would create ... ... Washington, but that it will intensify the search for new models for reducing nuclear risks and strengthening global and regional strategic stability.
First published in the
DOC Research Institute
... Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms ... ... we started preparing ourselves for the possibility of waking up in March 2021 in a world where there are no restrictions on nuclear weapons.
The potential disintegration of New START would not be catastrophic for Russia, all the more so because the country ...
... Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms. “Almost 99.9% that it will not be renewed. There is no reason to talk about a new treaty,” said Zolotarev.
The speaker underscored the very vague prospects of The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: “While Russia and the U.S. were engaged in maintaining strategic stability in a bilateral format discussing whether we could destroy each other or not, the world acquired three new nuclear powers. The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons as of the End of the Cold War proved ineffective.”
... this next phase to start, the two countries must agree on ceilings but also improve communication [
] (including military-to-military) and begin work on precise, agreed, and approved (!) definitions for terminology and broader concepts related to nuclear weapons policy and strategy: deterrence, strategic stability etc. The latter process may start as a Track II discussion.
INF Treaty: More than Just an Agreement
The INF is a tougher topic. Both countries have officially accused each other of breaching the treaty, while ...
... or, for example, if Russia were to enlist China to take part in the operation, and if strategic weapons were used instead of nuclear weapons, it would still not be possible to ensure the reliable defeat of the SNF forces of either the United States or ... ... they were proven to be sound through empirical practice, as there were no nuclear strikes during that time. The maintenance of strategic stability in the current situation, which is marked by a significantly lower that the Cold War era level of SNF by numbers,...
... the Russian Federation have a shared responsibility to work together along with other nations to clarify our differences and mitigate these risks. Progress can only be made through the engagement of leaders. Moreover, in every country that possesses nuclear weapons, anything relating to nuclear policy is inherently “presidential.”
The reality today is that we have entered a new era, in which a fateful error—triggered by an accident, miscalculation, or blunder—could trigger a nuclear catastrophe....
... directly linked to the development of such weapons, the topic of
strategic conventional weapons
could form a separate and important section of the future document.
The influence of intelligence, military, and criminal activities
on strategic stability, including as regards
the vulnerability of nuclear weapons
. This topic has been highlighted, even if indirectly, in connection with the
of Russian-U.S. talks on information security and strategic stability in early March 2018.
Of particular importance is the possibility ...
....S. Relations in 2017
The Kremlin apparently concluded that the appetite for further bilateral or multilateral agreements on nuclear weapons is very low in both the White House and in Pentagon, and the US Senate is highly unlikely to ratify any meaningful ... ... not just another “third” nuclear power — like China, Pakistan or India. It is one of the two core pillars of the global strategic stability. If President Putin no longer considers strategic arms control as Russia’s top security priority; if from ...
... strategic weapons (at least in the context of developing common terms and definitions) and the impact of cyber activities on strategic stability, and finally dot the i’s on endless mutual recriminations regarding medium- and short-range missiles.
“No ... ... clarification of the provision of the National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation on the conditions under which the use of nuclear weapons by Russia is considered possible.
A scenario of the United States asking Russia (and/or China) through official ...