The presence of colossal stockpiles of nuclear weapons in two or three great military powers reduces the likelihood of a general ... ... in maximum physical proximity to the main administrative and industrial centres of Russia. That is why many respectable observers now have some concerns about the correctness... ... highly-centralised police State.” The first is confirmed so far — even economically powerful China does not yet have, apparently, arsenals comparable to those of Russia and the...
... relations with China are based, among other things, on conventional arms control in border areas (Shanghai and Moscow agreements), and the relevant control body recently met again in Astana. The Russian-Chinese mutual commitment not to be the first to use nuclear weapons against each other also plays a significant role.
Zhao Huasheng, Andrey Kortunov:
Prepare for the Worst and Strive for the Best. Russia’s and China’s Perceptions of Developments in International Security
There is also a Russian-Chinese agreement on notifications of launches of ballistic missiles and space launch vehicles. It is possible to use such mechanisms in the future to reduce regional ...
... probably with a view to achieving parity with the US and Russia in the long term. The Americans, who have officially identified Russia and China as the main threats to their security, are considering how to balance the combined nuclear potential of Moscow and Beijing. So there is no hope here.
The main problem, however, is not the quantity of nuclear weapons or even their presence per se, but the quality of relations between states. The world order is experiencing an ...
... strategic stability became clear back at the time of the New START signed in 2010. Despite Russia’s concerns, the document failed to enshrine any restrictions on the development... ... charges within 30 days. Of particular significance are the U.S. plans to deploy tactical nuclear weapons, including medium-range missiles, which further increases their strike... ... global strategic stability into question, because it could be used against Russia and China. In 2018, the head of Russian diplomacy insistently
urged
Japan to enter into...
... Everyone in the Soviet Union breathed a sigh of relief when, in September 1969, the chairman of the Council of Ministers Alexey Kosygin on his way to Vietnam made a stop in Beijing for talks with Zhou Enlai, first premier of the People’s Republic of China. This meeting of the heads of government of the two countries defused the dangerous crisis.
Elena Karnaukhova: Russia is going to deploy its tactical nuclear weapons on the Belarusian territory. Which consequences will it have – political or military? How will it change the balance of power and what countermeasures can we expect from the US side?
Dmitry Trenin:
Today, in the context of a proxy war ...
... powers to resurrect the JCPOA agreement with Iran or to keep the North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic ambitions at bay. The US-China last year mini-détente remains very fragile and might turn into another cycle of escalating tensions. The global economy ... ... will enter a new cold war, but it is more appropriate to ask whether the world will enter a new hot war, because in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine armed conflict millions of soldiers have been fighting for two years, using almost all heavy weapons except nuclear weapons such as airplanes, tanks, artillery, warships, missiles, etc., and the U.S. and the NATO countries are already ...
... members, or signatories, to the Treaty, including all major space-faring nations.
The document not only bans the deployment of nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction in space, but also prohibits the establishment of military bases, testing ... ... creation of military space forces, or the placement of conventional weapons in space. Since 1967 many countries, including the US, Russia, China and India have conducted a variety of unhindered tests of anti-satellite weapons prototypes. So far, the most visible impact ...
...
agreement
between the two. Be that as it may, at this stage, the Pacific countries are certainly not ready to host or deal with nuclear weapons in any other way.
Nuclearizing the Periphery: Great Power Impacts
Andrey Kortunov:
Does the Non-Proliferation ... ... only each other but also to
middle powers and small states
. At least three out of the five NWSs (nuclear weapon states)—China, Russia and the US—have direct stakes in the region. However, the crippled arms control system has not been trilateralized as ...
... slow: on top of the five recognized nuclear states only three other nations (India, Pakistan and North Korea) have openly tested nuclear weapons, and another one (Israel) has kept a deliberate ambiguity on its nuclear status.
However, this positive track ... ... Moreover, strategic arms control per se is in a deep crisis: the United States walked out of the ABM and INF agreements, while Russia suspended its participation to the New START that in any case expires in the beginning of 2026. It is not at all clear ...
... postponed for a long time, but in connection with the exacerbating tensions with China and its decision to achieve strategic parity with the United States, the U.S. response should soon be expected.
The element of confrontation between the U.S. and China, the decision made by the UK to increase the number of deployed nuclear weapons of its own, as well as the aggravation of relations between Russia and the United States, together with the dialogue on strategic stability put on hold, usher in a new stage in the nuclear arms race in the world. Perhaps, this stressful situation will lead to a new multilateral arms control system.
At the doctrinal ...
