... respectively). Moreover, pressure is growing in U.S. expert and political circles to abandon the agreement in order to restructure nuclear deterrence around simultaneous confrontation with two major adversaries, Russia and China [Edelman, Miller 2025]. Russian ... ... Treaty, citing them as grounds for suspending participation in it in 2023 [
42
], and the Kremlin’s attitude toward extending New START remains unclear.
Reaching agreement on a successor treaty by February 5, 2026, is virtually impossible. Besides the ...
... the Pentagon, and it is possible to push for more.
How will Russia and China respond to a major build-up of U.S. strategic nuclear forces?
Aleksey Arbatov:
Nuclear Doctrine and Strategic Stability
Strict numerical parity is not essential for credible nuclear deterrence. Russia has not even maxed out its New START limits, often falling well below them (especially in terms of deployed delivery vehicles, which are the most expensive to produce and maintain). But given that the U.S. has nuclear-armed allies, a substantial arsenal of strategic-range non-nuclear ...