Getting back to the deal will be difficult. It will be even more difficult to keep it
The prospects for talks on an Iranian nuclear deal are becoming increasingly dim. After Democrat Joe Biden won the presidential election in the United States and was sworn in, Washington started to pursue a return to negotiating the JCPOA. The new administration aims to overcome the legacy of Donald Trump, who unilaterally broke the deal even though it was sealed by
UN Security Council Resolution 2231 of 2015
. In 2018,
Trump renewed the unilateral US sanctions against Iran
, and ...
... unresolved issues between Iran and the Unites States, any normalization of bilateral relations would require both political will and a large-scale settlement plan
The “shamanic dances” around the “spirit” of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) peaked in October, 2017 after U.S. President Donald Trump criticized the deal for its shortcomings and accused Tehran of playing a destructive role in the region. Iran is yet again a part of the “axis of evil” identified by President George ...
... international standing that would put additional pressure on US-Europe relations.
And we urge President Trump and the US Congress to:
Address the facts of Iranian compliance on the terms of the deal, not on other points.
Consider that this multinational nuclear deal cannot be expected to solve non-nuclear issues and should not be instrumentalised in pursuit of bilateral confrontation.
Engage with the machinery of the JCPOA to address any US compliance concerns multilaterally.
Build on the deal to see whether it can be increased in duration and extended in scope to other countries of the region, as recently urged by leading
US
and
ELN
voices.
Accept that the fastest ...
... the success of Iranian energy is contingent upon two factors: the policies of the new American administration toward Iran and the results of the Iranian presidential election (to be held in May). These two factors will determine whether the Iranian nuclear deal will be preserved and whether the Iranian economy will still be free of international pressure.
Abdolrasool Divsallar:
Judging the Effects: The Shaping Iranian Perspective on JCPOA and Trump's Options
As of February 2016, one of those variables started to take shape, and though not distinct yet, the indications are definitely negative. Donald Trump’s public announcements are ambiguous and often contradictory, however the ...
... certain sanctions, the effects specified in Article 7 of Annex II could be partially fulfilled. However, this policy sounds tricky as both Iranian public opinion and political elites in Tehran are getting alarmed about the real outcomes and effects of nuclear deal. Trump’s aggressive options against JCPOA will probably lead to following Iranian moves:
1. Transforming effectiveness as the cornerstone of Iranian approach to JCPOA limits future US options, which are based on putting more pressure on Iran by adding new surrogate sanctions. This is due ...
