... Ukrainian conflict, being kept as topics for discussion in Russia and Tajikistan’s bilateral agenda, even after the exacerbation of Russia’s relations with the West in 2014. Official state relations were also sufficiently intensive.
Ivan Timofeev:
Ukrainian Crisis, Turkey and Eurasia: Who Wins?
At a first glance, Russia–Tajikistan relations have not significantly changed following Russia’s launch of a special military operation (SMO) in Ukraine. Tajikistan’s leadership stresses the country’s ...
The SMO’s Nuclear Dimension
Virtually immediately after the start of the special military operation (SMO), large-scale warfighting in Ukraine prompted discussions of nuclear weapons-related threats and even of the expediency of using such weapons. At the same time, such comments and statements are mostly highly unprofessional. This article attempts to substantively examine nuclear escalation scenarios. The purpose of this exercise is to identify the most dangerous scenarios and ways of preventing...
Moscow should prepare for a long-term stand-off with Washington
The rash decisions to join NATO recently adopted by Helsinki and Stockholm are probably the most vivid illustration of the emerging trend toward a consolidation of the Collective West, with other evidence of this newfound unity among the Western nations after February 24, 2022 seen in plenty.
For instance, the unprecedented sanctions against Moscow were agreed upon at an astonishing speed, just as the programs of military and economic...
... an escalation in the Taiwan Strait is highly questionable as well.
Sooner or later, divergences, including within the North Atlantic Alliance, will also emerge when it comes to the Russian dossier. Even today, France’s approaches to resolving the Ukrainian crisis markedly differ from those of the United Kingdom or the United States. Once the acute phase of the conflict is over, these discrepancies are likely to deepen, as European members of NATO are objectively more interested in restoring unity ...
... many nations publicly discussing the hostilities. South Africa, as a projected continental leader, BRICS member and the only full-fledged African participant to the Group of 20, could not stand aside, having to formulate an official stance towards the Ukrainian crisis.
South African official position
Andrey Kortunov:
Restoration, Reformation, Revolution? Blueprints for the World Order after the Russia-Ukraine conflict
After the start of the operation, virtually all South African media outlets sharply ...
Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. Russian and foreign experts are currently exploring a wide range of scenarios for such transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation...
The victorious march of the authorities of the US, the EU, and other countries over the fragments of Russian property gives rise to legitimate fears among investors from other countries
On April 28, US President Joe Biden asked Congress to pass new legislation on the
confiscation of Russian property
. The presidential proposals were previously developed at the level of key agencies responsible for sanctions: the Treasury (financial sanctions), the Department of State (responsible for visa sanctions...
... order to create the appearance of moving forward, and that, therefore, Russia’s special operation must be brought “to a victorious end” in any case, even if it is accompanied by large-scale losses and costs.
Emphasis on diplomacy
Ivan Timofeev:
Ukrainian Crisis. Who Has the Upper Hand?
These mixed reactions to the results of the Istanbul round of negotiations can hardly be considered accidental. They reflect the two fundamentally different understandings of the desirable and even of the plausible ...
... stabilize the situation in Ukraine, overcome the current crisis and consolidate society around the most vital task of the country’s development.
It is common knowledge that Russia and the leading Western states have wildly different assessments of the Ukrainian crisis with regard to its causes, nature and driving forces. Some of these differences will be very hard to overcome, particularly in the short term.
This notwithstanding, it is absolutely clear that both Russia and the West should be extremely ...
Russia's expectation from the upcoming elections is the appointment of a president that will shift the policy from one of radicalisation and confrontation towards opening a more constructive dialogue
The upcoming Ukrainian elections are of crucial significance due to their ability to influence the complex structures of regional security and stability. The election results will indeed impact (although to what extent, remains to be seen) the Russia-Ukraine and the wider Russian-EU relations. Given...
