Ukraine will have to pay the price for the hawks’ triumph
A new wave of sanctions against Russia has captured global attention, with the European Union’s 19
th
package taking centre stage. Brussels had been working on it for a long time; Slovakia blocked its adoption back in late September, and Hungary also voiced objections. However, a ...
... system will continue to weigh heavily on the prospects of normalization for the foreseeable future. Nevertheless, a window of opportunity for achieving peace remains open. The motivation to seize such opportunities may hinge on the interim outcomes Russia has achieved thus far and the potential scenarios that could unfold if hostilities persist.
Ivan Timofeev:
Three Years of Conflict: Results for Ukraine
Among the key results, the most striking is Russia’s demonstrated readiness to use force ...
Restarting the architecture of missile and nuclear arms control in a Russian-American or broader format appears highly improbable
The ongoing negotiations between Russia and the United States on the Ukrainian issue have rekindled hopes for a return to constructive dialogue on other fronts, particularly in the realm of ...
... Ukraine as a political project owes its existence to America. Particularly resonant was the public reprimand delivered by the US President and Vice President to the Ukrainian leader in the Oval Office. Although the end of the military conflict with Russia remains uncertain, the events in the White House provide an opportunity to reflect on the results of the past three years and earlier stages of Ukraine’s post-Soviet history. These results can be framed as a balance of gains and losses.
Ivan ...
... nuclear weapons bases and exchanged more than 25,000 notifications of military activities in this area, while the Bilateral Consultative Commission held 19 meetings to resolve contentious issues.
It is worth noting that despite the acuteness of the Ukrainian crisis and the widespread discussion of the possibility of nuclear escalation in Russia and abroad, the strategic forces of the U.S. and Russia are not part of this discourse. The focus is instead on tactical nuclear weapons and limited nuclear strikes. This contrasts with the situation during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, when the ...
On the transformation which was hard to imagine even five years ago
The last time Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Russia to meet President Vladimir Putin was almost five years ago, in September 2019. The following year, the pandemic broke out, and the Russian leader did not pay a return visit until December 2021. A few months later, the Ukraine crisis began, and ...
... casualties both sides suffer, the greater the intensity of hostilities and the closer approach to the threshold of nuclear use. In this scenario, there will be no victors.
Is it possible for NATO armed forces to be involved in a military conflict between Russia and Ukraine? Such a formulation of the issue until recently seemed marginal, given the high risks of escalation of the military confrontation between the North Atlantic Alliance and Russia into a large-scale armed conflict. However, this scenario ...
Historians will most likely conclude the ambitious U.S.-led attempt to expand a militarized NATO on the border with Russia was an ill-conceived strategic failure resulting in lives lost and misplaced, and the catapult vital to compel a significant bi-polar alliance between BRICS to counter the once dominant NATO Alliance
NATO seems to be in disarray. NATO rested ...
... the fact that the leaders of the top EU countries, as well as the institutions of the European Union, have completely surrendered themselves to events that they could not control. The seriousness of the crisis that arose — a military clash between Russia and the United States over Ukraine—no longer left any room for foreign policy manoeuvring on the scale that was available to Europeans during the Cold War of 1949–1991.
Moreover, the Ukrainian crisis itself was, to a certain extent, the result of the fact that the continental Europe has lost all ability to be strategically independent. This, as we saw above, occurred as part of a gradual process that combined the consequences of the ...
If just one word were to be used to describe the preliminary outcomes of this dramatic crisis, the word would be resilience
The unfortunate conflict between Russia and Ukraine started almost a year and a half ago, and many experts in Russia, Europe, Asia, in the United States claimed that this conflict was a game changer. It was being said that the world would never be the same again as revolutionary shifts ...