Search: Ukraine,Sanctions (17 materials)


A Grey Swan: Is There a New Conflict in Donbass?

... loss of control over the situation, should the symbolic whipping turn into a real conflict. In the end, full-scale military operations in Donbass in the near future are not the baseline scenario. Russia is a strong adversary; the risk of big losses for Ukraine are great. Accordingly, it is hardly worth considering a scenario of a sharp tightening of sanctions against Russia. No radical aggravation—no radical sanctions. At the same time, politics likes surprises. Erroneous assessments, the personal ambitions of leaders, the peculiarities of group decision-making with their "shift to risk",...


Sanctions Against Russia: A Look Into 2020

... whether the situation in the coming year will remain stable? — Given the scale of the Russian economy, the current sanctions are unlikely to derail it. However, sanctions can cause grave problems for individual companies and projects. The risk of new sanctions stems from a series of political factors: the Ukrainian crisis and conflict in Donbass, the U.S. elections and the alleged meddling, the developments in the Middle East, etc. — Regarding Ukraine, the crisis has noticeably stabilized. However, we should not expect any significant breakthroughs in terms of compliance with the Minsk Agreements in the coming year. The stabilization of the situation in Donbass significantly decreases the risk ...


Sanctioning the Pipelines: Implications for Russia, the EU and the U.S.

... NS2 himself before. At the current point, sanctions are rather driven by politics than the market. Ivan Timofeev: A Bumper Year for OFAC Still, sanctions against NS2 are another reason to bolster European concerns. The EU is a dedicated part of the sanctions coalition against Russia on Ukraine. It imposed both personal and sectoral sanctions, involving Russian defence, energy, and financial spheres. It supported the U.S. on supposed election interference, the Skripal case and other issues. However, EU companies turned to be significant ...


Where is the Reality in Canada’s Morality Politics: An Appeal for a Thaw in Russian-Canadian Relations

... these spheres. Sitting down with Russia is question of pragmatism, not appeasement. What is best for Canada globally is best for Canadians at home – especially those living in the North. This does not mean that Canada needs to cease its support of Ukraine, roll back sanctions, or stop denouncing Russian aggression. It means that Canada – alongside Russia – needs to find unique solutions for the more pressing and difficult questions. This implies not just talking, but also listening. Going forward, Canada will ...


Reducing Risks and Cutting Costs: The Art of Confrontation Management

... time has come to reactivate the Normandy Format process at its top political level. The pause in the Minsk process has been too long, and there is a growing danger that we will lose the only legitimate mechanism of managing the crisis in and around Ukraine. Andrey Kortunov: Europe’s Greens as Future Strategic Partners of Russia Second, assuming that there is visible progress in implementing the Minsk agreements, there might be an opportunity to modify the EU’s mechanism for Russian sanctions. This is not to say that Brussels should consider a complete lifting of sanctions. Nevertheless, sanctions usually only work if the side imposing sanctions can expeditiously react to even minor changes in the behavior of the side against which ...


The West and Russia: logic of punishment?

The second episode of the Meeting Russia interview with Ivan Timofeev, program director of RIAC, about Ukraine, the EU’s sanctions against Russia and Russian think tanks. The second episode of the Meeting Russia interview with Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs, about Ukraine, the EU’s sanctions against Russia and Russian think tanks.


These are the Benefits of a U.S.-Russia Summit

... and beyond. Washington and Moscow each control resources and levers of influence vital for managing and ultimately resolving these conflicts. Although officials have sought to negotiate small steps, such as implementation of the Minsk agreements in Ukraine and getting the Syria talks in Geneva back on track, political will is lacking, and a meeting between the U.S. and Russian presidents is by far the best opportunity for each to signal their commitment to progress. Finally, in the aftermath of years of sanctions and counter-sanctions, policies of mutual isolation have atrophied relations between ordinary Americans and Russians to an unacceptable degree that does not serve the interests of either side. Basic embassy and consular services have been severely ...


Searching for a new foundation for German-Russian relations

... issue that has to be managed. It is necessary to develop parallel tracks for the relations, without any track being dependent on deals being struck in other ones. No Ukrainization of all relations with Russia and no Donbassization of all relations with Ukraine. Sanctions mostly do not lead to the desired results. Those imposed on Russia have had two effects. First, they helped to make the EU credible with regard to Russia’s action in Crimea and Donbas without having to take military actions. Second, they helped ...


European Council Summit: Waiting or New Sanctions?

... Foreign Affairs Council supported the recommendation of the head of the European External Action Service to impose additional restrictive measures against Russia in response to the annexation of Crimea and Sebastopol. The technical side of the proposed sanctions is still under discussion. At the present time, there are only two instances in which EU–Russia relations can change: if military action in Ukraine ceases completely (which is unlikely); or if the situation deteriorates dramatically, like it did in July following the downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17. The European Union is currently looking for a new conceptual basis for relations with ...


Russia-West rivalry over Ukraine is higher priority than security

... West, the recent NATO summit in Wales, common external threats for Russia and the West such as Islamic State, and the odds of success for the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement. Although Russia and Ukraine seem to have begun taking steps to resolve the Ukraine crisis on a diplomatic level, a new wave of sanctions imposed on Russia’s energy companies and major banks may become another serious challenge for relations between Moscow and the West. Although a faint light at the end of the tunnel of the Ukrainian crisis may have appeared during the last ...


Poll conducted

  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
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