... provinces in the neighboring Syria has once again drawn the attention of the international community not only to the loss of thousands of lives and colossal destruction but also to the extent to which these natural disasters may affect the prospects of national ... ... country, especially in the south (Deraa-Suweida-Quneitra triangle). Syria remains an arena for score-settling between Israel and Iran, Turkey and the Kurdish militias, as well as the geopolitical rivalry between Russia and the United States. Chronic instability ...
... of those who financed al-Qaeda terrorist leader Osama bin Laden. The decision was made in accordance with Section 311 of the USA PATRIOT Act of 2001, passed in the wake of September 11, 2001.
But this package of sanctions was generally not too frightful ... ... Some Gulf Arab states have signaled that they might be willing to support reconstruction, perhaps hoping to get Syria out of Iran’s orbit. But for now, they are hesitant to take the risk. For the same reason, Damascus’ other allies—Russia and Iran—which,...
... limited military operation is almost impossible to imagine: To effectively curtail nuclear developments in Iran, the U.S. and their allies would have to conduct a full-scale campaign involving the use of aircraft and missile strikes.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA-Iran: Why Is the Deal Stalled?
In this scenario, the conflict is unlikely to stay solely within Iran’s borders, but will almost inevitable spill over to the entirety of the Middle East with largely unpredictable consequences. Such a war would not only ...
... will be able to achieve the political goals for which a huge price has already been paid, both in human lives and in terms of enormous damage to the economy. The contours of the balance for global and regional players—the EU, the US, China, Japan, Iran and others are more clearly visible.
The European Union bears the most serious losses and costs. They are associated with the rupture of numerous trade and economic ties with Russia. The main challenge is the replacement of Russian oil, gas, metals ...
... the incident with the Ryanair flight, the escalation of sanctions has accelerated significantly. The blocking sanctions of the USA, EU, Canada, Great Britain and Switzerland fell on a number of Belarusian officials, businessmen close to the authorities,... ... that can lead to a radical increase in the quantity and quality of sanctions pressure on Russia. In the event of a war, the Iranian model will most likely be used against Russia: a phased ban on the purchase of Russian oil and, possibly, gas, as well ...
... rather than on foreign adversaries
Last week, CNBC published an op-ed piece by Frederick Kempe, a prominent US analyst and journalist. The author argues that in 2022 the US will have to focus on confronting the challenges coming from China, Russia and Iran. He suggests that these three nations will likely try to make use of the perceived US foreign policy weakness, which the recent American withdrawal from Afghanistan demonstrated in the most explicit way. Frederick Kempe also suggests that there is ...
... JCPOA
remains valuable
for Tehran and Washington, which both sides confirm every now and then. However, trust between the parties is so low after Donald Trump’s demarche that the prospects for new agreements are increasingly elusive.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA-Iran: Why Is the Deal Stalled?
All the more so since Iran is demanding security guarantees from the U.S. so that the incident does not recur and that the new U.S. elections do not destroy any previous agreements. However, Washington cannot guarantee this ...
... who unilaterally broke the deal even though it was sealed by
UN Security Council Resolution 2231 of 2015
. In 2018,
Trump renewed the unilateral US sanctions against Iran
, and went on to tighten the restrictive measures
even further
. Eventually Iran also began to refuse the deal, resuming uranium enrichment to 20% in accordance with the law “
On the strategic measures for the lifting of sanctions
”.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA vs. JCPOA: How Can Russia and China Respond?
In April 2021, the parties began indirect negotiations in Vienna, where a meeting of the signatories of the Joint Comprehensive Action Plan (JCPOA) took place. However, the efforts of the diplomats did ...
... discussed. The dialog group brings together a core group of American and Russian experts in the regional studies, who represent different research centers of the two countries.The current meeting was devoted to the results of the presidential elections in Iran and the possible consequences of the elections for the situation in the Middle East region. Russian side was represented by Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General; Irina Zvyagelskaya, RIAC Member, Head of the Center for the Middle East Studies at ...
... unilaterally withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2018, renewing massive economic sanctions against Iran. The subsequent extraterritorial application of US sanctions forced a significant number of foreign companies to leave Iran.
Ivan Timofeev:
USA vs. JCPOA: How Can Russia and China Respond?
Companies from the EU have suffered the most. Moreover, during the presidency of Donald Trump, the volume of restrictive measures against Iran was increased by Presidential Executive Orders No. 13846, 13871,...
