... been defeated, there are still sleeper cells in the Syrian desert. According to the UN, there are between 6,000 and 10,000 ISIS terrorists in Syria and Iraq, not counting the present representatives from other organizations. Additionally, there are thousands of terrorists in Syrian prisons (including those controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces), which are becoming breeding grounds for jihadist ideas.
Moreover, the risk of escalation between individual countries still remains. There is a U.S. military ...
The US was ill-prepared for a tough standoff with a superpower boasting comparable might, once the latter stopped playing at giveaway
The story of the Chinese Automatic Drifting Balloon (ADB) violating the U.S. airspace in late January–early February 2023 will be a symbolic marker for a new phase of deterioration in the US-China relations.
The relations were rapidly eroding throughout 2022 and early 2023. In some aspects, U.S.-China relations in 2022 evoked obvious associations with U.S.-Russian...
Report #83 / 2022
Report #83 / 2022
World order structural transformations are going hand-in-hand with new global power shifts where the United States and China will be vying for dominance. However mutually beneficial the Sino-American relations have been since the 1970s, recent years have borne witnessed to soaring uncertainty and confrontation between the U.S. and China. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the current U.S. foreign policy strategy towards China, focusing on the most...
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
In October 2022, Joseph Biden’s administration published the new U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR-2022) as part of a single National Defense Strategy (NDS-2022) package along with the Missile Defense Review (MDR-2022). The previous Nuclear Posture Review appeared in February 2018 during Donald Trump’s presidency.
One of the key functions of any publicly available strategic document is to deliver information to other states – both friendly and hostile...
... The stresses this has placed on the U.S. defense community are immeasurable.
Problem 3: Assistance provided through American SCPG creates an ordained international leadership over allies.
In PG, there is no explicit shunning of fellow worshipers or refusal to interact and engage with other denominations. However, the quality and equity of that interaction has been called into question, in that there is rarely a fair exchange of ideas, nor is there an expectation on the PG side that another group will ...
... developing strategic arms control mechanisms, and other issues.
Several RIAC members spoke at the event, including Anatoly Antonov, Russia’s Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary to the United States; Alexei Arbatov, Head of the Center for International Security at IMEMO RAS; Evgeny Buzhinsky, Chairman of PIR Center Board; Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General; Vladimir Orlov, PIR Center Director, MGIMO Professor; as well as the following experts: Elena Chernenko, Special correspondent ...
For both sides, the stakes in the current crisis are higher than they were 60 years ago
Today, it’s come to be trendy to draw parallels between the current state of U.S.-Russian relations and the famous Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962. All the more so, because we are on the cusp of the 60th anniversary of the Cuban Crisis: the decision taken by the John F. Kennedy administration to impose a blockade on Cuba was made at the White House in the evening of October 20, having triggered the acute phase...
... institution relative to other international structures of regional ilk, which embraces all the major topics of the international agenda, such as socio-economic progress, national and regional development, rather than just the issues of war and peace or international security.
That this picture was far from reality became increasingly clear as negative trends in international relations grew in momentum. In recent decades, which were marked by the complex dynamics of international relations as well as ...
While Xi Jinping may respect the legitimacy of Russia’s actions to protect its national interests and security in the face of external forces, he has a greater interest in having a bird’s eye view of China’s greatest costs of war
During the Cold War, the Soviet Union and the United States competed for global supremacy numerous times by waging proxy wars around the world; Afghanistan, Vietnam, and Angola being the most notable. Today, Russia has been relegated to a secondary power position with...
... nuclear-related rhetoric. It certainly does not mean curtailing freedom of speech as such, but it appears possible to prohibit officials, including legislators, from making public statements concerning permissibility of nuclear strikes or from putting forward accusations of nuclear terrorism.
Third, with an NPT Review Conference coming up, it would appear very useful to re-launch the activities of the P5, if not in a full-fledged cooperation mode, then at least in coordinating the parties’ stances. Mutual accusations ...
