... organisations, such as the SCO, can be used here. The accumulated experience can then be transformed into permanent institutions focused on a broader range of security issues.
Zhao Huasheng, Andrey Kortunov:
Prepare for the Worst and Strive for the Best. Russia’s and China’s Perceptions of Developments in International Security
An important issue of the new structure will be its functional orientation. NATO, in the past, emerged as an instrument to contain the USSR, and today the alliance has received a new life, trying to solve the problems of containing ...
... recent
visit
of Alliance Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg to Baku, Tbilisi and Yerevan showed, the movement in this direction has not stopped.
Second, while the focus of geopolitical confrontation between the West (the U.S. and its EU allies) and Russia has shifted from the Caucasus to the Middle East and Ukraine since 2014-2015, this region remains among the most turbulent in the post-Soviet space.
In the last four years alone, the status quo has changed twice in this part of Eurasia. As a result ...
... they stormed through the entrance killing unarmed security personnel and then proceeded through the lobby to the music room itself.
There were no political statements or demands; as it later turned out, terrorists were not even sufficiently fluent in Russian. No hostages were taken, the goal of the attackers was quite simple—to kill as many people as possible and to inflict as much damage as possible to the concert hall itself. With more than 6.200 unarmed people caught in the building, this task ...
When assessing the current state in Russian-Armenian relations, we must consider the different visions of Yerevan and Moscow
The specifics of Armenian national policy
The fundamental basis of Armenia’s foreign policy, both under the leadership of Kocharyan-Sargsyan and in the Pashinyan ...
... International Dialogue invited Andrey Kortunov, Academic Director of the Russian International Affairs Council, and Zhao Huasheng, Professor at Fudan University and expert with the Beijing Club for International Dialogue, to discuss the problems pertaining to international security, preventing a nuclear war, the rise of a new world order and prospects for the China-Russia relations.
The world security situation: pessimistic or optimistic?
Andrey Kortunov:
Recent international developments give few reasons to stay optimistic about global security—at least, in the nearest future. Most of the ongoing conflicts in ...
Over the last 20 years, China and Russia promoted the idea of complete demilitarization of outer space
During a recent regular press briefing in Washington, John Kirby, White House National Security Communications Advisor, expressed concerns about Russia allegedly working on new anti-satellite ...
... Impacts
Andrey Kortunov:
Does the Non-Proliferation Regime Have Any Future?
Official nuclear powers are threatening not only each other but also to
middle powers and small states
. At least three out of the five NWSs (nuclear weapon states)—China, Russia and the US—have direct stakes in the region. However, the crippled arms control system has not been trilateralized as China has refused to be included in the configuration, nodding to its incomparably smaller nuclear arsenal. Notwithstanding ...
Escalation signaling is a tremendously difficult task that allows for some flexibility but also raises the risks of further escalation
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has demonstrated an unprecedented use of missile capabilities and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by both militaries. While Ukraine’s capabilities present a significant military-technical challenge for Russia, the fact that they ...
... at the turn of the century, the Arab Spring, the coronavirus pandemic – the acute phase of each of these cataclysms lasted an average of one and a half to two years. Today, the world is approaching the two-year anniversary of the conflict between Russia and the West transitioning into an acute phase, and there is no light looming at the end of the tunnel. Moreover, there are many reasons to believe that further escalation lies ahead. The same inauspicious conclusions may apply to many other systemic ...
As the world's two super-nuclear powers, the relations of Russia and the U.S. are inseparable from nuclear risk
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia and the United States have been engaged in an almost open nuclear game, but in different forms and with different objectives. Both Russia ...
