... recent years (except in 2020), and this advantage
is predicted by the IMF until 2026
and beyond.
The
third scenario
is a careful search for a balance while preserving the existing membership of the association, goals and objectives. For this to happen, China, India and Brazil need to revise their approaches to bilateral relations, smoothing out their contradictions. BRICS should work on the mistakes after the pandemic, trying to formulate joint responses to the serious challenges that are looming today, including ...
...
Russian Security Cannot be Anti-Russian
The US energy sector wins. In the near future, it will receive a significant part of the European market. In addition, it will now be more convenient for the Americans to oust Russia from the world arms markets. China and India will remain major buyers, but competition for other markets will be more difficult for Moscow due to stronger US opposition.
The United States has accumulated a set of internal problems. The Russian factor once again makes it possible to at least ...
... the rest of the world. But we must recognize the deep skepticism, with which the rest of the World receives the constructed and often obviously hypocritical narratives of the West. As noted earlier, Russia has very good and warm relations with both China and India—together nearly 3 billion people. We also must look at China’s enormous goodwill in Africa and trade relations with South America. Africa’s experience with colonialism and neo-colonialism (continuing until today) have given Africa a profound ...
... high on the dispute probability matrix, both in terms of geopolitics, but also on the discussion over nuclear energy. In such a case, there is a probability that even the pro-nuclear states, such as Hungary or Poland would not back such a decision.
India and China and the nuclear energy revolution
Ivan Timofeev, Sabine Fischer:
EU-Russia in 2030: Alternatives Scenarios
India has been promoting its advanced heavy water reactors (AHWR) through cooperation with nations such as Australia and Argentina and has ...
... Delhi’s strategies in both domains could be a tantalizing proposition.
On this basis, Moscow needs to engage more closely with New Delhi as it further fleshes out the idea of a Greater Eurasian partnership. Maintaining strategic partnerships with both India and China at bilateral and trilateral (RIC) levels is crucial for general geopolitical stability in Eurasia. Russia, which has neither the ambition nor the resources to dominate Greater Eurasia, could play a key role in maintaining Eurasian equilibrium, which ...
... thoroughly addressed and hopefully solved. Recent processes in Pakistan these days demonstrate, that Pakistan’s government is actively moving on this.
The stability-instability paradigm
of nuclear weapons is a crucial point - not only for Pakistan-China-India, but for the whole World’s perception of nuclear weapons. I should here like to draw parallels to China’s soon upcoming control of Taiwan (which I see is inevitable) in spite of a US armada of nuclear weapons trying to deter China from doing ...
... potential costs for the U.S.
Even if U.S.–India relations were upgraded to the level of an allied partnership, it is far from apparent that Washington would be ready to extend direct military support to New Delhi in the event of another escalation of the India–China border conflict. An even less likely scenario is that the U.S. would decisively endorse India should it a military confrontation with Pakistan play out. As an example of America’s “low profile” in such matters, we could cite its extremely ...
... withdrawal.
The NATO withdrawal creates significant hurdles for regional stability and a power vacuum in Central Asia. There are several players, both internal and external, who are seeking to fill the void left by the Americans and their allies. Pakistan, India, Iran, Turkey, China and Russia seem poised to play the next “
great game
” in the so-called “
graveyard of empires
”. Some of these states have a vested interest in the stability of Afghanistan to ensure regional security and foster economic interests as well ...
... is pioneering a truly new model of international relations that is much more beneficial for the majority of their people than that the U.S. seeks to retain (albeit through “
Lead From Behind
” reforms) even if it still takes time to materialize;
China and India must seriously consider very difficult mutual compromises in order to restore the lost trust between them, especially in the economic-financial-tech spheres, in order to ensure that BRI and the AAGC converge rather than compete, heralding the best-case ...
... future, which is also an important background for the future of the Indo-Pacific strategy. This situation will stimulate the four countries to get closer, thus naturally contributing to the development of the Indo-Pacific. Among these, the change in China-India relations has a greater impact. The relations between China and the United States, Japan, and Australia have been subject to strategic tensions, so the impact of them as variables is relatively consistent. India has been abiding by its non-aligned ...
