... economic trends on domestic politics; the influence of regional power struggles on unresolved conflicts in Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and Libya. In many ways, these dynamics are interconnected and feed into one another. However, evidence of increased contact with Russia by countries like Egypt and Jordan should be taken in the context of the US disengagement from the region, which began during the Obama administration, and concern about the Trump administration's disorganised, chaotic foreign policy. Furthermore,...
2019 was a good year for Russia.
2019 was a good year for Russia. The country rejoined the Council of Europe, the first case of sanctions being lightened since 2014. It confirmed the country’s commitment to the Paris climate agreement. It welcomed close to fifty African leaders ...
... politicians in the United States have warned and stated without evidence that "Russia will be back in 2020" to "interfere" and "undermine American democracy." The problem is — there is not much reason to believe these forecasts of doom and discord will come to fruition. Russia will likely be absent from the 2020 presidential election in the same way it was missing from the
2017 German elections
, the
2018 US midterms
, and the most recent UK general election. In each instance aforementioned, there was wild speculation ...
... incurs no losses, its primary objective being to implement its strategic “One Belt — One Road” project.
Past and Current Forecasts
Azerbaijan: Effective Ties and Pragmatics
In his article “Azerbaijan in 2021: Reasserting Sovereignty”, Murad Gassanly ... ... Azerbaijan’s principal decisions, such as participating in integration projects and handling its bilateral relations with the US, Russia, Iran, Turkey and Israel are dictated precisely by the prospects of resolving this issue in favour of Azerbaijan. Baku ...
Speaking notes for the European Meeting of the Trilateral Commission
Any attempt to predict the development of Russia–EU relations in the upcoming years must certainly acknowledge the fact that relations between the two sides have remained remarkably stable since 2014, and
the momentum of current dynamics
(or, instead, the momentum of no dynamics) will most ...
... it is very useful to depict the potential variants and scenarios of development after each bifurcation point. How we can define these points? What facts and figures we should take into account in our analysis? What are the important point of views in Russian political establishment that should be taken into account?
At least why it is crucial to think of Ukraine now? Since the 2014 Ukraine remains one of the important factors of European and international relations development. It finds the place ...
RIAC Experts on Global Issues
In this project, we gather the opinions of Russian experts on Russia’s foreign policy with regard to individual countries, the situation in individual regions, and the specifics of the development of the key functional areas in international relations.
The first Chapter “
Global Governance ...
The greatest challenge of our times is a deficit of solidarity between nation states, including those of them, which are entrusted by the United Nations Charter with a special responsibility to maintain global peace and security
Reflecting on problems of 2018 and on challenges of 2019, it is tempting to point at the current US Administration as the greatest international problem of today. Indeed, over the outgoing year Washington has been very active in questioning the foundations of the contemporary...
... Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018
report (the key theses are listed in the
online version
) reflects the results of the work conducted by the Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the postSoviet states.
Ivan Timofeev: «The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions,...
A Forecasting Report
This report reflects the results of the work conducted by the Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post-Soviet states.
The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions, and will come ...
