Search: European Union,Scenarios (12 materials)


Restoration, Reformation, Revolution? Blueprints for the World Order after the Russia-Ukraine conflict

... “getting used” to, Brussels will be progressively less ready to offer Kiev some exclusive mechanism for accessing to the European Union. Practical matters connected with launching such a mechanism will repeatedly be postponed, Ukraine will not even ... ... West’s victory, then in a broader international context, this victory will inevitably prove pyrrhic [ 90 ]. Compared to two other scenarios, the revolution scenario envisions a far more radical and far more chaotic transformation of the international system ...


Ukrainian Crisis: Political Economy of Confrontation

... influence the military-political situation. The war is fraught with a humanitarian crisis, the consequences of which will hit the European Union. Without any war, the EU countries effectively work with the peripheral economy of Ukraine and use it as a demographic ... ... higher today, despite the existing sanctions. In other words, further territorial expansion can be viewed in Moscow as one of the scenarios. However, an open war with Ukraine will not solve the existing security problems, even if new territories are under ...


EU-Russia in 2030: Alternatives Scenarios

... Foreign Policy (EUREN), a group of 40 eminent experts from different places in Russia and 14 EU member states, published four scenarios for the future of EU-Russia relations: A “Cold Partnership” in a multipolar world, where Russia and the EU ultimately ... ... This changes Moscow’s foreign policy rationale and opens a window of opportunity for more constructive engagement with the European Union, including on the Donbas conflict. Both sides are able to steer their relationship through the choppy waters of ...


Alternative Futures of EU-Russia Relations in 2030

... disagreements in the coming decade. But the two sides can come to a pragmatic partnership that safeguards peace and stability in Europe. This is the main finding of the EUREN scenario-building process, conducted between February and September 2020. Four scenarios were developed: 1. A " Cold Partnership " in a multipolar world, where Russia and the EU ultimately return to extensive cooperation on issues such as climate change, digitalisation and visa liberalisation, while still facing major ...


Sanctions Against Russia: A Look Into 2020

Policy Brief #27 / 2020 Policy Brief #27 / 2020 Executive Summary — The report asesses the risks of sanctions against Russia over the year. — By 2020, the use of sanctions against Russia had gained much more stability compared to previous years. The damage caused by the new restrictive measures can be considered limited. The key issue is whether the situation in the coming year will remain stable? — Given the scale of the Russian economy, the current sanctions are unlikely to derail it. However...


Vienna Hosts an International Expert Group Meeting to Discuss Long-Term Scenarios of Russia's Future

On September 5–6, 2019, in Vienna, FES Regional Office for Cooperation and Peace in Europe held the second closed scenario forecasting seminar “Looking beyond the Horizon of 2024” on the long-term future of Russia. On September 5–6, 2019, in Vienna, FES Regional Office for Cooperation and Peace in Europe held the second closed scenario forecasting seminar “Looking beyond the Horizon of 2024” on the long-term future of Russia. An international group of experts from Austria, Germany, the United...


Russia and Ukraine: Four Scenarios for the Future

... and relying on significant successes in implementing socioeconomic reforms, Ukraine will more insistently demand a speedy integration into the bodies of NATO and the European Union. Although Ukraine is unlikely to become a full member of either the European Union or NATO in the foreseeable future, cooperation with these organizations will become intense and multifaceted. Andrey Kortunov: Europe and Russia: Four Scenarios for the New Cycle If this scenario materializes, then for Russian authorities, Ukraine will become not merely a major nuisance, but a fundamental existential challenge. The prospect of Ukraine inevitably joining NATO entails the intensive militarization ...


Europe and Russia: Four Scenarios for the New Cycle

... a matrix containing four quadrants; each of them stands for a scenario of the future EU — Russia relationship. Each of the scenarios has its logic, its driving forces, its limitations and its likely implications for both sides. Igor Ivanov: Russia’s ... ... Policy: New Challenges, New Horizons “No Man’s Land” (weak Europe, no reforms in Russia) . Under this scenario neither the European Union, nor Russia is able to rise to the occasion and to address their respective challenges in a serious way. EU remains ...


RIAC at Dahrendorf Symposium 2016

... military, mostly from the EU member countries. Alexey Gromyko, RIAC member and Director of the RAS Institute of Europe, and Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, took part in the work of the Dahrendorf Symposium and addressed the meeting. Programme European Union in the World 2025 – Scenarios for External Relations


Russia and Ukraine: A Corridor of Opportunities

Scenarios of How the Crisis may Unfold Scenarios of How the Crisis may Unfold The Ukrainian crisis presents the most serious and dangerous challenge to European security ... ... something closer to hard line national statehood. Ukraine is the nexus where the interests of such key players as Russia, the European Union and the United States have clashed, making this purely domestic crisis turn into a regional and even global issue....


Poll conducted

  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
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