... domestic arena, where security remains the key concern. Besides, NATO is set to withdraw most of its contingent from Afghanistan by the end of this year, giving way both to fresh risks and new opportunities. These developments are closely watched by the Central Asian states, not least due to their impact on regional security. We met with
Farkhod Tolipov
, PhD in Political Science, Director of Caravan of Knowledge, an Uzbek think tank, to hear his views on Afghanistan’s future, the magnitude of ...
On April 9, 2014 in Washington, DC, RIAC Director General Andrey Kortunov and Program Manager Natalia Evtikhevich met Director of the Central Asia Program Professor Marlène Laruelle, Professor Cory Welt, and Director of the Institute for European, Russian and Eurasian Studies Peter Rollberg, all of the
George Washington University
, to discuss future steps in development of ...
On January 22, 2014 the Russian International Affairs Council held a roundtable “Prospects for Russia-U.S. Cooperation in Central Asia: Joint Assessment” aimed at discussing a draft project of a joint RIAC-George Washington University publication on this issue.
The two countries may boast vast experience of consulting on international relations in many parts of the ...
This week we saw several articles demonstrating serious concern about inevitable cuts in fundings of Central Asian studies in U.S. Let us try to consider it as a positive thing. How this cuts could affect scientists and, what is most important, Central Asian countries?
The first and most obvious result of research funding cuts is change in the composition ...
... major assets, nor can China engage Europe or USA as that is a political minefield.
If we recall in 2005 CNOOC tried to buy USA’s Unocal, but it failed spectacularly, as liberal mottos proved not as free as they sounds. Yergin (2011: 204-205) described ... ... to better its domestic production (even if a firm like Unocal accounts for a mere 1% of the US output), nor can land adjacent Central Asia support its growing energy demand fully or Russia be prepared to play on its terms. In effect, China is left with ...
... and the success in extremism fighting is not actually connected with military assistance the region gets. Thus, first of all, all parties whose concern is Central Asian security need to find an answer to the question - is there a credible threat for Central Asian states waiting to spread from Afghanistan? For now this question remains open, albeit Russia, China and USA still help the region with money, technics and military training, especially with training on conducting operations in the mountains. Dispositions It’s obvious that the main country around which all strategy of United States in Central Asia ...
... international order emerging in 2001 from the post–Cold War transition will last until the mid-2040s. A decade-long crisis set off by events in Uzbekistan will then produce a Sino-centric international system with diminished Russian influence in Central Asia. Faced with combined Chinese and Islamist militancy in the region, Russia will abandon its revisionist entente with China and Iran in favor of diplomatic and geo-economic rapprochement with Europe and North America. By 2079, implementation ...
... the seller, as fixed assets like pipelines cannot be re-diverted in case of disagreements over price. Hence, if in the future Russia does not agree with potential Chinese demands it will be left with no options, but China will be able to get gas in Central Asia or via the sea from Australia and maybe even the USA post 2016-2017 when many anticipate possible start to shale-LNG shipping. Lastly, China can always burn coal if it is facing a trade dispute over price to pressure sellers like Russia, although as Yergin highlighted at IMEMO RAN the environmental ...
... cheap money. This, coupled with low interest rates across the whole eurozone, fuelled credit and real estate bubbles in the USA and Europe, which burst in 2008-9 amid the global ‘credit crunch’.
At first, this led to a pan-European banking ... ... the Kremlin’s determination to preserve Russian’s “sphere of privileged interests” in the Caucasus and Central Asia are palpable. In the South and East of its vast country, Moscow acts more like a neo-imperial power. Like Beijing ...
Causes for concern for the Russian political elite
Central Asia is presently a vital area for world politics. The 9/11 acts of terror in New York and Washington showed that the collapse of states in this region as they lose control over their national borders may have serious repercussions for other parts ...