Russia Should Prepare for the Very Realistic Scenario in which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble too, as it is looking dangerously unlikely that the bare minimum of extending...
Preserving the Union and ensuring its development through “objective interests” only is problematic. Credibility and “shared meanings” are required.
Russia–Belarus relation have taken a permanent place at the top of news feeds over the past few years. On the one hand, the crisis in neighboring Ukraine has whipped up interest in Belarus. On the other hand, discussions between Minsk and Moscow have become more open and imaginative. Fake news stories have also become more frequent: recently, the media...
On June 24–28, 2019, Vienna, Austria, hosted the Conference of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization. A panel discussion “Getting The Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Architecture back on Track?” was held within the conference framework.
On June 24–28, 2019, Vienna, Austria, hosted the Conference of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization. A panel discussion “Getting The Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Architecture back on Track?” was held within the conference...
On June 25–26, 2019, a regular annual meeting of the European Council on Foreign Relations was held in Lisbon
On June 25–26, 2019, a regular annual meeting of the European Council on Foreign Relations was held in Lisbon. The forum gathered government officials, former and current diplomats, journalists, parliamentarians and public figures of European countries, representatives of international organizations and the private sector. The participants discussed the role of the European Union in the...
On June 17, 2019, Rudolf Michalka, Special Representative of the OSCE Chairperson-in-Office for the South Caucasus, his advisor Pietro Guastamacchia, and Siegfried Woeber from the OSCE CPC Caucasus Desk visited Russian International Affairs Council to gain new insights on the South Caucasus prior to a conference in Geneva
On June 17, 2019, Rudolf Michalka, Special Representative of the OSCE Chairperson-in-Office for the South Caucasus, his advisor Pietro Guastamacchia, and Siegfried Woeber from...
On June 17–18, 2019, Helsinki hosted a meeting of the Crisis Management Dialogue Working Group of the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG)
On June 17–18, 2019, Helsinki hosted a meeting of the Crisis Management Dialogue Working Group of the Euro-Atlantic Security Leadership Group (EASLG). Diplomats, public figures, and experts from Europe and the United States discussed the prospects for creating new tools to reduce the risks of escalating crisis situations in the Euro-Atlantic,...
On June 6–8, 2019, Bratislava is hosting 14th edition of GLOBSEC 2019, an annual international forum on security issues.
On June 6–8, 2019, Bratislava is hosting 14th edition of
GLOBSEC 2019
, an annual international forum on security issues.
The forum gathered experts, politicians, businessmen, and public figures from more than sixty countries. The discussions focus on the challenges of overcoming the current regional and global instability, increasing the manageability of the international system...
Europe is one of the safest and the most prosperous parts of the world. Will it change to worse because of nuclear arms control degradation?
Europe as a nuclear battlefield
The number of nuclear weapon states, their respective arsenals, and transatlantic nuclear arrangements make Europe one of the most “nuclearized” continents. Luckily, even when the total warhead numbers were even higher, nuclear use had been avoided – although the threat remains real. Relations between Russia and NATO currently...
Right now, such scenarios look very unlikely
There is no doubt that the EU can put together a modern and powerful army. Europe has more than enough human, financial, industrial, and technological resources to do that. However, if the EU has not yet done this despite continuous discussions, political statements, and even approved programs, it means the incentives to proceed are not strong enough. First, nobody is eager to have a military machine in Europe duplicating NATO or even some of its functions...
Artificial intelligence in military affairs
Earlier this year, the author had an opportunity to participate in a
workshop
held under the auspices of SIPRI and the Pathfinder Foundation concerning the introduction of machine learning and autonomy in the nuclear forces-related systems. Interaction of new technologies (which include artificial intelligence in the broadest sense of the word) with means for preventing global conflict (as well as ensuring Armageddon if necessary) is one of the most...
