..., these objective trends will outweigh the immediate repercussions of the regional conflict in Europe and many of the current unattainable US political gains will naturally deflate.
It would not be a gross overstatement to argue that tor the US, the Ukrainian crisis has become a kind of political anesthetic that allowed Washington to brush aside many of its long-term problems and to score points with US allies, partners and to some extent—even with its adversaries and opponents. Still, if a patient ...
The figure of the U.S. president is unlikely to play a big role in Russian-American relations
The approaching US presidential election is once again giving rise to discussions about who is best for Russia. Once again, there is a temptation to view Republican candidate Donald Trump as a more acceptable politician for Moscow. Trump says he hasn’t ruled out a “deal” with Russia. His thinking is transactional. He stands for promoting the national interests of his country, but in words he is ready for...
On the transformation which was hard to imagine even five years ago
The last time Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Russia to meet President Vladimir Putin was almost five years ago, in September 2019. The following year, the pandemic broke out, and the Russian leader did not pay a return visit until December 2021. A few months later, the Ukraine crisis began, and since then the annual bilateral summits have been unofficially put on pause. Now, finally, Modi is coming to Russia again—and...
Indonesia continues to pursue an independent international policy despite Western pressure
In June 2024, the 21st Shangri-La Dialogue forum, an annual conference held in Singapore under the auspices of the UK’s International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) on security challenges in Asia, featured retired Indonesian General Prabowo Subianto for the third time in the past three years. He was invited to the Singapore forum in 2022 as Indonesia’s defense minister and influential politician who...
The more casualties both sides suffer, the greater the intensity of hostilities and the closer approach to the threshold of nuclear use. In this scenario, there will be no victors.
Is it possible for NATO armed forces to be involved in a military conflict between Russia and Ukraine? Such a formulation of the issue until recently seemed marginal, given the high risks of escalation of the military confrontation between the North Atlantic Alliance and Russia into a large-scale armed conflict. However...
Historians will most likely conclude the ambitious U.S.-led attempt to expand a militarized NATO on the border with Russia was an ill-conceived strategic failure resulting in lives lost and misplaced, and the catapult vital to compel a significant bi-polar alliance between BRICS to counter the once dominant NATO Alliance
NATO seems to be in disarray. NATO rested on their laurels that they could continue unabated in expanding the West’s military alliance to the doorstep of Moscow. The alliance placed...
Russia’s preservation of its statehood and sovereignty again becomes the main stake of the conflict. The statehood of Ukraine is another stake
In Russia, the point of view that the goal of the United States and the “collective West” headed by Washington is a final solution to the “Russian question” is becoming more and more widespread. Such a goal is seen as defeating Russia, levelling its military potential, restructuring its statehood, rewiring its identity, and possibly liquidating it as a single...
... offbeat to the overwhelming majority of observers until February 2022. Indeed, it seemed unlikely from the perspective of the past thirty years. And yet, it materialized. Maybe it is time to break down the habitual scheme of things?
Aleksey Arbatov:
The Ukrainian Crisis and Strategic Stability
Regardless of the motives behind this proposal, it requires rational reflection, considering the fundamental importance of the issue. After all, we are talking about nuclear weapons, which are associated not just ...
There is no way Ukraine and NATO can “win” the military confrontation against Russia, and the best-case scenario they can project is tying down Russia in an endless conflict
In welcoming Finland to NATO during a visit to Helsinki on June 2, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken gave a speech which confirms what a growing number of world leaders believe: His arrogance is matched only by his delusions. The latest in a line of geopoliticians from the Brzezinski school, Blinken seems to believe that...
The Swedes and the Finns will become less secure
The end of the Nordic region’s role as constructively “different” and low-tension
In this article, I attempt to take a macro perspective on the disastrous developments for the Nordic region’s security, peace prospects and traditionally constructive role in the wider international system. What used to be called the Nordic balance—having different security profiles, taking each other’s basic interests into account but not forming a Nordic alliance...
