... the century, the Arab Spring, the coronavirus pandemic – the acute phase of each of these cataclysms lasted an average of one and a half to two years. Today, the world is approaching the two-year anniversary of the conflict between Russia and the West transitioning into an acute phase, and there is no light looming at the end of the tunnel. Moreover, there are many reasons to believe that further escalation lies ahead. The same inauspicious conclusions may apply to many other systemic conflicts ...
... At the time, an impending rupture was in the air, but to many it seemed unlikely. The reality of the thirty years since the end of the Cold War—the reality of peaceful life, openness and cooperation—had become too familiar. In relations with the West, it began to wind down long before 2021.
Cracks began to appear in the late 1990s, and since 2014 the rupture has become increasingly irreversible. But as it often happens, it is difficult to believe in the possibility of big changes precisely because ...
... weak market demand for the completed projects.
The slowdown of China’s activity in the financing of strategic infrastructure in developing markets potentially means that they remain dependent on credit from the U.S. and other developed nations of the West, which potentially lowers the status of China and other BRICS member states as international lenders.
Payment Systems
The BRICS-11
accounted for
22.0% of global exports of goods and services in 2022. However, most settlements in international trade ...
...
1989 heralded a unique prospect for an enduring global peace, as harsh ideological divisions and conflicts began to be resolved. Now, three decades on, that peace has been lost. With war in Ukraine and increasing tensions between China, Russia, and the West, great power politics once again dominates the world stage. But could it have been different?
Richard Sakwa shows how the years before the first mass invasion of Ukraine represented a hiatus in conflict rather than a lasting accord – and how, since ...
The termination of hybrid wars and their transformation into a hybrid peace is the fundamental problem of modern diplomacy
Over the past decade the concept of hybrid warfare has firmly established itself in political rhetoric in the West and in Russia. Russian experts have rightly pointed out the vagueness of the concept, its intersection with other concepts (such as irregular wars), as well as
the weak scientific base.
Nevertheless, the widespread use of the term can hardly be ...
... compare to each other, and the problems of the rest of the world matter less.
The decisions of the General Assembly are not binding, but are an accurate reflection of the real distribution of opinion. Yet, conflict also spills over there. For example, Western countries, led by the United States, have considerable opportunities to influence developing countries. Ultimately, however, there is more room for maneuver, which means the space for the democratic expression of will is somewhat wider.
The disagreements ...
Multipolarity is usually understood in Paris not as the existence of several roughly equal centers of power but as a joint solution to global problems under the unconditional priority of Western interests
Late in August this year, President Emmanuel Macron delivered his annual
address
to French ambassadors, thus traditionally opening a new political season for the Fifth Republic’s diplomacy. In terms of content, it generally reaffirmed ...
... than two decades have passed, and the world has become a very different place. The war on terrorism is no longer the top priority of global politics: it has given way to the more familiar geopolitical confrontation between great powers. Russia and the West,
the United States
and China constantly accuse each other of directly or indirectly supporting terrorist organizations and movements.
Successful joint war on terror involves, among other things, the exchange of more than sensitive information, the ...
... dynamics of certain international problems. That is, in general, it is important from the point of view of communication between our countries, strengthening friendship and relations of privileged comprehensive strategic partnership.
Ivan Timofeev:
Russia-West: Rising Stakes
What are the main factors that will ultimately determine the resolution of the Ukraine crisis and conflict by peaceful means?
This is a complex question because the Ukraine conflict is caused by a whole complex of contradictions that ...
... relations, is going through a period of severe stress. Over the last five years, Russia’s share of Indian defense imports went down from 60% to 45% and is likely to shrink even further in the near future. Moscow has to confront the rapid expansion of the Western presence in the Indian arms markets and the current "Made in India" strategy pursued by the Indian leadership. On top of that, there are questions in India about the reliability of Russian weapons, Russia’s compliance with delivery ...