Trump plans to increase the U.S. nuclear potential and doubts the New START's usefulness. How should Russia react?

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Foreign Affairs: Analysis

27 february 2017

Armenia after 25 years of Independence: Maintaining Stability in an Unpredictable Neighborhood

Hovhannes Nikoghosyan PhD, Adjunct Lecturer, American University of Armenia

  12

Like all other post-Soviet countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States, Armenia celebrated its 25th anniversary of independence in 2016, which is a fitting occasion to draw lessons from the first quarter of a century’s experience, and to look to the future — after lengthy Caucasian toasts have all been raised and drained. As it commonly happens, the course of development in the next few years will depend on a number of internal and external factors, and none of those are constant variables, neither can they be assessed and predicted with mathematical accuracy.

21 february 2017

Tackling the Libyan Crisis

  2

The protracted conflict in Libya that has almost disappeared from the political agenda may deteriorate further and result in a full-scale war. What is the role of France in resolving the crisis in Libya? Russian International Affairs Council asked Ambassador Elisabeth Barbier, Special Envoy of France to Libya, to comment on a political solution for a problem.

21 february 2017

The Post-Soviet Space in 2017

Yulia Nikitina PhD in Political Science, associate professor at the School of World Political Processes, research associate at the Center for Post-Soviet Studies, MGIMO University

  8

In 2017, we are likely to see more skirmishes in Nagorno-Karabakh, since neither party learned the lessons from the escalation that took place last spring: information on the truce being periodically breached keeps coming in. Most likely, the conflict will not be resolved, but its escalation into a full-fledged war is unlikely either. As for the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), there is little chance of it changing its stance with regard to the situation, meaning that it will not intervene in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

17 february 2017

Ensuring Euro-Atlantic Security

Sam Nunn Co-Chairman of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, Former Democratic US senator

Desmond Browne Vice Chairman of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, Executive Board Member of the European Leadership Network, Former British Defense Secretary

Igor Ivanov President of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (1998–2004)

Wolfgang Ischinger Chairman of the Munich Security Conference

  8

The chasm between Russia and the West appears to be wider now than at any point since the Cold War. But, despite stark differences, there are areas of existential common interest. As we did during the darkest days of the Cold War, Americans, Europeans, and Russians must work together to avoid catastrophe, including by preventing terrorist attacks and reducing the risks of a military — or even nuclear — conflict in Europe.

16 february 2017

Pathways to Cooperation. A Menu of Potential U.S.-Russian Cooperative Projects in the Nuclear Sphere

Sam Nunn Co-Chairman of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, Former Democratic US senator

Igor Ivanov President of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (1998–2004)

  7

The U.S.-based Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Moscow-based Center for Energy and Security Studies (CENESS) launched a new joint report on the future of U.S.-Russian nuclear cooperation. The report includes 51 recommendations for mutually beneficial cooperation across five thematic areas: nuclear science, nuclear energy, nuclear safety, nuclear security, and nuclear environmental remediation. If implemented, these projects could result in safer nuclear reactors, stronger defenses against nuclear and radiological terrorism, and cleaner approaches to nuclear environmental remediation.

16 february 2017

The UN: Changes Are Long Due

Dmitriy Kiku PhD in Political Science, RIAC Expert

  12

It is safe to assume that António Guterres, who assumed the office of the UN Secretary-General on January 1, 2017, will be able to bring positive momentum to the activities of the global organization. One can say this because during his ten-year tenure as the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (2005–2015), he was extremely successful in cutting down the excessive bureaucracy at the agency he fronted in Geneva. Guterres visited conflict zones, which inspired his staff members to venture out of their cosy offices and work “in the field,” as their mandate indeed requires. This approach is also strikingly different from that of Guterres’ predecessor, Ban Ki-Moon, who, as we know, refrained from participating personally in conflict resolution.

15 february 2017

Nuclear Agreements and Capabilities in 2017

Ilya Kramnik Head of Defense and Security Desk at Lenta.ru, RIAC expert

  5

Today, Russia is the only major power that is introducing significant innovations. Moscow is attempting to reduce the gap that appeared in the 1990s–2000s. Besides, given that NATO is much larger in scale, Russia uses its nuclear potential to compensate for the fact that it lags behind in the size of its conventional capabilities.

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