Andrey Kortunov

CSIS and RIAC Report

RIAC and Africa Business Initiative Union Joint Report #53/2020

Report No. 41/2019

Report No. 48/2019

The Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations’ Report

RIAC and RUSI Report, #45 / 2019

CSIS and RIAC Report

Based on discussions with experts, officials and military figures in Moscow, European capitals and NATO Headquarters, this report identifies practical steps to stabilise the Russia-NATO confrontation

RIAC and RUSI Report No. 38/2018

A Forecasting Report

A Report of the CSIS Russia and Eurasia Program and the Russian International Affairs Council

RIAC and VIF Report #34, 2017

RIAC and CSR Report

RIAC and RUSI Report #32, 2017

The Preliminary Lessons of the Crisis in Kazakhstan

Twelve objectives for Russia’s foreign policy in the coming year

A smart foreign policy has to focus on international problems rather than on foreign adversaries

An exchange of views between UK and Russian experts on the growing tensions between Russia and the West

Russian policy is essentially an attempt to balance a number of diverging principles, goals, priorities and modes of engagement in the Eastern Mediterranean

Not sending officials to the Olympic Games in Beijing, Western leaders demonstrated a spectacular lack of vision and a deficit of common sense

Logic, common sense and event analysis suggest that a large-scale war with Ukraine is completely irrelevant to Moscow’s plans

The President of Russia has made an exception for India. And this conveys the importance that Moscow attaches to bilateral cooperation with the leading power of the South Asian subcontinent

The Lithuanian gamble has low chances of succeeding

Instead of the "end of history," we will observe more intense multifaceted competition between different types of social development

Daydreamers, businessmen, box-tickers, martyrs, hedonists, philosophers

The changing rules of the global geopolitical game and the current diversification of New Delhi’s foreign policy priorities make it all the more urgent to explore new avenues in Russia–India…

What the G20 Summit in Rome has shown the world

The United Nations is much bigger than its Security Council, all the importance of UNSC notwithstanding

The only way the relations between New Delhi and Islamabad can return to normal is within a broader international context. The same is true of Moscow — Kiev relations

It appears that the Biden administration is not ready for a real showdown with Beijing over the Taiwan question

Decisions made by NATO may be unpalatable for Moscow, but they are generally consistent and predictable. The same cannot be said of structures such as AUKUS

Unlike in September 2001, today the international community is no longer united around Washington in confronting this global challenge

The Kremlin succeeded in making its presence in Syria stable, financially affordable and generally acceptable to the Russian public. The White House failed to do the same in Afghanistan

Northeast Asia entered the 21st century without quite bidding goodbye to the previous era

Finding solution to some problems would actually be easier without Washington, since the U.S. is often part of the problem rather than part of the solution

Claims to global leadership should imply additional responsibilities from the part of the United States

Should humankind fail to agree on some civilizational synthesis within the next couple of decades, “globalization 2.0” will definitely fall short of accomplishing the most fundamental mission of the…

Most of the Russian experts focus on the multiple challenges that the EU encounters today rather than on the obvious historical achievements of the European project

Recent years have ushered in a historically protracted process of rectification, vodka and political realism in global politics

Neither Moscow nor Brussels needs another “ceremonial” summit

The Soviet Union collapsed long ago; this date still unites us

The time has come for SCO member states to bring this body out to the light and to rise up to a new, post-US Afghan challenge

Africa should become a global project that could unite East and West, Atlantic liberals and Eurasian autocrats

Surely, nobody is willing to see another Helsinki scenario in June 2021, this time in Geneva. Yet, do we have good reason to hope for a different outcome this time?

The OSCE does not have a magic wand to fix numerous problems between Russia and the West, but it can offer a platform to discuss these problems in a rational and mutually respectful way

A collective security dream

The problem of trust between the people of Russia and Iran remains unresolved, if only because they have very poor knowledge of each other

The main findings of the workshop on ‘European Security’ organised by RUSI and RIAC in February 2021

The door for US-Russian negotiations is still open

What if four or five out of the seven vulnerable straits and canals were blocked at once?

A one-year extension to the current aid arrangements would be no one’s first choice—but would ensure civilians in Idlib continue to receive help

To Prevent a Full-Scale War from Starting, The Situation in Donbass Needs to Be Stabilized

Neither in Moscow nor in Beijing do they harbor illusions about opportunities to fix their problems with Washington anytime soon

What kind of Syria would we like to see and might we see by March 2031?

Like Asgard, Armenia is not a place, it is a people

It seems that today, in most societies, the public puts fairness before freedom

Russia must be able to demonstrate results that exceed those in its attempts to integrate into Globalisation 1.0 at the beginning of the century

Combining Alexander’s global universalism and noble idealism with Aristotle’s rational democracy and political pluralism could usher in radically new development directions for our world

Russia and India are going to lose a lot if they have to take sides in this forthcoming US-China rivalry

We may assume that if at least half of these tasks are fulfilled, then the next 12 months can be rightfully deemed a success for Russia’s foreign policy

We will not see an early US-Russian summit in 2021

The only plausible alternative to multilateralism is not a restoration of an old bipolar, unipolar or multipolar order, but a global disorder with no agreed-upon rules, procedures and hierarches of…

Although the U.S.-China-Russia triangle is still a popular and useful analytical pattern and possible future scenario for relations, it does not resemble that of the Cold War

Even a partial restoration of transatlantic unity under a President Biden will be a blow to the official Kremlin narrative about the inexorable movement of the international system toward a…

Biden’s harsh anti-Russian campaign rhetoric should not be taken literally

What lessons can Russia and Chine draw from the Korean War to better handle conflict?

If you expect Moscow to give in to external pressure and make concessions, you’ll be waiting a long time  

How Russia deals with its sphere of influence

The logic and dynamics of Turkey’s current foreign policy continue to place Erdogan in the middle of a minefield, where any step could prove fatal for his relations with Vladimir Putin

Current preliminary pencil sketches of the complex Eurasian structure of the future contain more questions than answers

A true reform of the UN cannot start in New York; it should start in national capitals of member states

Neither the coronavirus nor the economic recession will automatically lead to a détente, let alone a reset in relations between Russia and the West

In today’s world, societies cannot interact through the bottleneck of intergovernmental relations

Even if the political clouds are miraculously dispersed and the New START is revived in the coming months, it would not do much to bring back the Soviet-American model of arms control that took shape…

Yemen’s looming humanitarian disaster and its people’s pleas for peace require action on three levels

Just like the classics of Marxism-Leninism idealized the proletariat and demonized the bourgeoisie, the UN Secretary-General idealizes the South and demonizes the North

In order to put its relations with China back on track, the US political establishment will have to go through a complete generational change

The end of the current public health and economic crisis is nowhere in sight, but it’s already clear that both Moscow and Brussels will come out of it weakened, both in absolute terms and relative to…

Relations will continue to be built on the basis of the “lowest common denominator,” which effectively means the continuation of the current course of confrontation

Future governance structures should incorporate elements of the old order but prioritize emerging threats and the needs of rising powers

Multilateralism, like any other format of diplomatic activity, will always be as effective or ineffective as the players who practice them want

Crisis is not just a convenient pretext but also a solid reason for shaking up one's old foreign political "wardrobe"

The anniversary will become a reason to mourn the failed hopes of the past decade and an incentive to think about the opportunities offered by the next ten years

The Monkey King cannot sit it out atop the mountain

The West, particularly the United States, is crying out for an alternative to the Chinese coronavirus narrative. And now more so than ever, as the outlines of a post-corona bipolar world are coming…

The First Take on Humanity’s KPI in Combating the Coronavirus    

Some principles of the “responsible restriction of freedom” that the authorities of all countries should think about when such restrictions are inevitable

Either humanity will find the strength and determination to move to a new level of governance by relinquishing a part of the national sovereignty of states, or new pandemics will force us to pay an…

The G20 is too small and too exclusive to represent all of humanity, but in order to be an effective crisis manager at the global level, it is too large and heterogeneous

After the pandemic, a new agenda will emerge in the world, which will be determined by young people who are now under the house arrest of self-isolation. Suddenly, they will have had enough time to…

Preliminary results of the coronavirus test on society show the lack of instinct that is inherent in anybiological species to protect its population

Familiar Problems and New Challenges for Russia

For Russia, this election in relative terms will mean less than for many other international players

Since the European and Russian Elites Are Never Going to Agree on Values, Relations Should be Built on Interests Instead

Iran and the Arab states of the Gulf would gain from taking control over their security interests

For the United States, for the European Union, for Russia, for China and for many other leading players in world politics, the great turning point, most likely, will not be in 2020, but in 2024

We need humanity, creativity and efficiency for Europe 3.0. South Tyrol Case for Donbass

Crisis of the state system, Economic and financial disorder, the rise of non-state actors, climate change, migrations, decline of international institutions

A trumpet of Armageddon or a wakeup call?

Macron does not want to lose his shot at the now-vacant position of foreign policy leader of Europe, including regarding Russian, which is very important for the European Union

The harsh jungle laws of modern global politics are much more complicated than the rules which dictate the size, stamina and physical strength of inhabitants of the animal kingdom

Speaking notes for the European Meeting of the Trilateral Commission

However, will a world without NATO be better for Russia than a world with NATO?

The new generation of Europeans will find things much harder than we did

Speaking notes during the Beijing Forum 2019

Five Explanations for the Kremlin’s Recent Foreign Policy Dominance, and Why It’s Not Such a Rosy Picture After All

The Africa of today and especially the Africa of tomorrow will be too important for the world at large to approach it only as an extension of the ongoing Russia–UK confrontation

If the Aim of Russian Policy is to Resolve the Donbass Issue by Finding a Compromise Solution, then the Russian Leadership Has no Reason to Rejoice at Ukraine-Gate

Franco-Russian Conversation with Andrey Kortunov and Michel Duclos