Foreign Affairs: Analysis
18 april 2014
This month we asked Rob Huebert to comment on the implications of the Crimean crisis for the Arctic. Huebert is associate director of the Centre for Military and Strategic Studies at the University of Calgary. He has researched extensively on Arctic policy and defense. He doesn’t rule out the possibility of escalating tensions in the Arctic. The latest news of Canada’s boycott of the Arctic Council meeting in Moscow confirms this picture.
Western democracies fear Russia's power so much that the U.S. and the European Union are actively striving to prevent President Vladimir Putin from reintegrating the Commonwealth of Independent States countries into a Eurasian Union. Fully aware of the competitive nature of today's multipolar world, Washington and Brussels do not believe that Russia can be a reliable, significant and responsible contributor to international security and order. Russia, in turn, demands that Western powers behave as equal strategic partners in the global arena.
18 april 2014
A couple of days ago in Washington, a former high-level U.S. government official mentioned to me that if a civil war breaks out in Ukraine, it would follow not the Bosnian scenario, but the Spanish one. Just as in the case of Spain in the mid-1930s, the civil conflict in Ukraine could rapidly escalate and internationalize, with major external powers getting actively involved and chances for a compromise becoming more elusive.
18 april 2014
In the last ten years we have witnessed a genuine revolution in private astronautics. The revolution began in the United States, but now is shaping different approaches around the world to the use and development of space, including scientific and technological policies pursued by states and competition between them in this field. Alongside the rapid growth in the commercial space sector, several other qualitative changes are currently taking place with regards to space technology. Of course, all these changes cannot but affect Russia and its long-term interests.
17 april 2014
The current crisis in Ukraine is expected to cause only a slight, short-term rise in “stress” immigration into Russia. However, in the longer term, the level of immigration from Ukraine to Russia is expected to fall, mostly due to Russia’s tarnished image, particularly as perceived in Western Ukraine, and a broader range of legitimate opportunities for the Ukrainians to move to countries in the developed Western world.
Let’s distract ourselves from ongoing negotiations around Ukraine and go through political theory and war waging, future of state sovereignty and defense cooperation, digital world of cyber security and how to use the appropriate terms when speaking about cyber threats, then jumping to Russian-Western relations in the Arctic, which is an integral part of finding an efficient way to move on with the climate change talks.
16 april 2014
The sanctions imposed on Russia in connection with the situation in Ukraine and Crimea are not so much a tool for exerting real and painful pressure, as they are a sign of an emerging turnaround in relations between Russia and the West in general, and Russia and the United States in particular.
15 april 2014
Universities are in effect acquiring two key dimensions, i.e. offline and online. Offline educational efforts are being currently monitored by the Russian Federation Ministry for Education and Science and the Federal Education and Science Supervision Agency. The Education Ministry oversees each institution’s role in developing the country’s educational and scientific potential, while the share that Russian universities contribute to the international scientific and educational community can be observed through several ranking systems. In an increasingly globalized world and through help of the Internet, more and more information is becoming accessible. At present we also have Webometrics at our disposal, a unique ranking tool to measure the research activities of any institution of higher education.
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