Foreign Affairs: Analysis
04 may 2016
On March 3-15, 2016 Beijing hosted the annual sessions of the Chinese parliament NPC and the chief political advisory body CPPCC. This year, apart from adopting a new five-year plan, observers’ attention was drawn to the northeastern provinces of China that border Russia. Against the backdrop of an economic slowdown, these regions, often combined in the so-called “Chinese Rust Belt,” appear to be most vulnerable to social tension, and therefore, it is exactly there that the methods “of economic recovery, while maintaining social stability,” so widely spoken about at the “Two Sessions,” are likely to be tested.
It seems that the train has left the station. More than 165 countries have pledged to sign Paris climate agreement, elaborated in December 2015. The ceremony will look more like the Oscars — Mr. DiCaprio, the UN climate ambassador is going to give a talk. To find out more about countries' promises, click to read RIAC's longread.
04 may 2016
While we consider the three areas we have raised above as the most urgent, we believe that the long-term stability of the region would be best served by creating an inclusive regional security system for the Middle East. We reject the view that the region and its borders need to be fundamentally re-developed, for example along the ethnic or sectarian, Shia-Sunni lines. We are aware that many previous attempts to create such a system have failed, and it cannot be imposed on the region by outside powers. We suggest nevertheless that experience from the Helsinki process in Europe and the modalities of work of the OSCE could be useful for regional actors who want to pursue this objective, and we stand ready to support this process.
The ‘New Economic Silk Road’ was launched by China’s President, Xi Jinping, in September 2013 in Kazakhstan’s capital, Astana. A few months later Astana became one of the three capital cities of the Eurasian Economic Union, which started with Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia, and later enlarged to Kyrgyzstan and Armenia. Is a new ‘Great Game’ under way? Who will control Eurasia? More specifically, how are relations between China and Russia evolving? Can the two ‘Great Powers’ co-exist in the region?
Authors: Ernesto Gallo, Giovanni Biava
29 april 2016
The Working Paper highlights and compares the most credible estimates of the number of militants arriving from different countries according to data published by the security services of various nations, as well as by leading research centres across the globe. Particular attention is paid to assessments of the situation regarding terrorists leaving, and then coming back to Europe, Russia and Central Asian countries; the link between migration and the recruitment of terrorists; and an analysis of the most common factors driving recruitment. This paper also includes a review of methods used by other countries to combat the recruitment of terrorists, as well as measures taken to reintegrate returning militants into society.
Who are they?
Recruitment, retention and return issues.
29 april 2016
On 25, April 2016 RIAC in cooperation with CSIS held a seminar “Russia-US Cooperation on Building Regional Security”. As participants discussed the ongoing international crises and fight against terrorism, website editor Mariya Smekalova asked Kathleen Hicks (Center for Strategic and International Studies), Kim Cragin (National Defense University) and Olga Oliker (CSIS) three short security-related questions.
The recent wave of international terrorism, which has swept across the world over the last couple of years, is a strong reminder that no region, not even remotest corner of our planet is secure. January 2016 has seen deadly blasts in different cities - from Turkey to Indonesia - taking too many innocent lives. Following terrorist attacks in Jakarta, RIAC gives an overview of extremist organizations present in the ASEAN countires.
29 april 2016
In the previous section of this editorial, we analysed in detail the arrangements, models and conceptual frameworks that concerned the approach of the Russian establishment to European and Euro-Atlantic organizations as a whole and to its primary additive components – NATO, the Organization for Security and Co-Operation in Europe (OSCE) and the Council of Europe. The continuation of this article is dedicated to what practice has shown to be a number of misconceptions about the European Union on the part of Russia. About what it represents, how it functions, the values it represents. About how and in whose interests it interacts with the rest of the world. And with Russia.
28 april 2016
In February 2016, the American Council on Foreign Relations published a report “Xi Jinping on the Global Stage: Chinese Foreign Policy under a Powerful but Exposed Leader,” prepared by Robert D. Blackwill and Kurt M. Campbell. The report is a kind of “policy brief” prepared specifically for the new president, regardless of his or her party.
28 april 2016
On February 9, 2016, the RIAC in partnership with the Delegation of the European Union to the Russian Federation hosted a Roundtable “EU and Russia: Our Differences, Interconnections and the Way Forward”, attended by many leading experts from Russia and the EU countries. The reasons for the profound crisis in Russian-European relations were analyzed. Participants tried to find an explanation as to why the previously created mechanisms for interaction and the accumulated experience of collaboration had failed to prevent the slide into mutual distrust, misunderstanding and hostility. Efforts were made, and not without success, to find bright spots that could somehow take the edge off the current controversy. Forecasts of the future were given, ranging from rather pessimistic to conservative.
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