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Foreign Affairs: Analysis

24 october 2014

Ukraine 2014: permanent crisis or a model for new relations?

Alexander Gushchin PhD in History, Associate Professor, Department of Post-Soviet Countries, Russian State University for the Humanities, RIAC expert


The Ukraine crisis has been the main event of the year on the international arena and looks likely to remain on the agenda in the long run. It not only exposed all the difficult points in the establishment and development of post-Soviet Ukrainian statehood but also revealed a whole range of global controversies that have been brewing for quite a long time.

RIAC Digest

Indian strategy in the Asia-Pacific, reforms in Morocco, Polish nuclear energy sector, Chinese think-tanks, Human trafficking

In this digest of international publications you will find a variety of topics: changing Indian strategy in the Asia-Pacific and the future of the US-Indian partnership, constitutional reforms in Morocco, development of Polish nuclear energy sector, new face of Chinese think-tanks, EU’s commitments in providing development assistance for the third world countries, Afghan political system after elections and a publication on human trafficking and online networks.

23 october 2014

Cyberpunk Coming True

Ivan Lapshin PhD in Philosophy, Expert in Latin languages


In recent decades, individuals, society and the world as a whole have been changing at breakneck speed, necessitating scientific approaches to predicting future developments. However, science-based prediction is a relatively young discipline, while authors of fiction – and especially science fiction – have been attempting to model societal and technological changes for centuries. One particularly interesting trend is cyberpunk, a science fiction sub-genre that developed over the final quarter of the 20th century merging scientific prediction elements present in many preceding literary genres with a projected technologic and social future, which is rapidly becoming a reality.


Playing with Oil Prices: a Global Strategic Sport?

Playing with Oil Prices: a Global Strategic Sport?

Authors: Ernesto Gallo and Giovanni Biava.

Oil prices have been recently falling; many commentators wonder why. After all, this is quite a surprise, if we consider the current turbulences in oil-rich Middle East. Leaving aside American shale, what has surprised the markets has mainly been Saudi Arabia’s choice to cut oil prices, as announced on October 1 and followed by further cuts in other Gulf countries.

22 october 2014

The Ukrainian Crisis: Russia’s Official Position and How the Situation Can Be Resolved

Sergey Utkin PhD in Political Science, Head of Department of Strategic Assessment, Centre for Situation Analysis, Russian Academy of Sciences


Over the course of the Ukrainian crisis the position of the Russian authorities has played an important, and at times decisive, role. This report will attempt to identify the reference points of Russia’s official view with regard to the development of the crisis. Critical analysis of this view has deliberately been ignored. In search for a resolution of the situation, the correctness of Russia’s official approaches is far less important than a consideration of what these approaches involve. The model of conflict resolution should comply with what the current Russian authorities believe the interests of the state are. This is one of the key criteria for the viability and success of a plan that is capable of bringing peace back to Ukraine.

21 october 2014

World Order Or World Anarchy? A Look at the Modern System of International Relations

Ivan Timofeev PhD in Political Science, Program Director at Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC)


This working paper is an examination of the modern world order. Theoretical approaches to the analysis of international relations are revised and its guiding characteristics are determined. The structure of the modern world order and its particular dynamics are revealed with the help of mathematical modeling methods. Possible directions for Russia’s policy in the changing world environment are considered.

21 october 2014

The Devolution Revolution

Elena Ananyeva Doctor of Philosophy, Head, Center for British Studies at the RAS Institute for European Studies


The global fervour surrounding the referendum in Scotland has blown over. Scotland will remain a part of the United Kingdom and the foreign policy consequences of its possible independence will not materialize. However, the outcome of the referendum may change the fate of the country and have an impact on the United Kingdom’s foreign policy.


Banning Diplomacy Should Not Even Be an Option

Banning Diplomacy Should Not Even Be an Option

Authors: Anton Tsvetov, media and government relations manager at RIAC.

With the Brisbane G20 Summit approaching, some voices in Australia are pushing PM Tony Abbott to ban Vladimir Putin from attending the meeting. Can this move bear fruit?

20 october 2014

Towards Greater Europe through Humanitarian Cooperation?

Andrei Kortunov Director General of the Russian International Affairs Council

Irina Busygina Doctor of Political Science, Professor of the Comparative Politics Department, MGIMO University


Has the crisis in Ukraine completely erased the idea of Greater Europe from the agendas of politicians and analysts in the West and the East of our continent? Pessimism appears to be reigning all over Europe these days. Indeed, with people being killed every day in the very center of Europe, any talk of a new all-European security system might come off as inappropriate, if not irrelevant. With the EU and Russia exchanging sanctions and trade restrictions, how can we realistically discuss any common economic space stretching from Lisbon to Vladivostok?

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