... the scenario of a
new bipolarity
[
2
] as one of the possible trajectories for global development. Today, many scholars, both Chinese and American, [
3
] suggest that China-centric and U.S.-centric poles are emerging.
This article discusses the “multipolarity — new bipolarity” dichotomy.
Long Global Macro-Transformations
World history shows that a new world order typically emerges after
the end of a major war
(see
Table 1
).
Table 1
. International system (world order)
International system
Period
Guarantors
Specifics
The Concert of Europe, following the Napoleonic Wars
1815–1914
99 years
Russia,...
... had earlier. There are dozens of them, and each one affects the environment in its own way. Sometimes it turns out that a medium-sized power is more effective and more influential than a great power because it is more flexible and compact. How can a world order be established in this situation?
The most popular idea is multipolarity. But multipolarity is not an order. Multipolarity is a certain reality. Moreover, the theoretical literature is increasingly questioning the relevance of poles as an analytical category. A pole is something that others are drawn to. And ...
Multipolarity is usually understood in Paris not as the existence of several roughly equal centers of power but as a joint solution ... ... regional areas. This time, however, a remarkable keynote ran through his speech—recognition of the breakdown of the previous world order and a clearly articulated intention to put this process on hold. Bolstered by several recent initiatives, such reasoning ...
Have emerging powers got the resources to reshape the world order?
Asynchronous multipolarity: governing parameters and directions of development
Since the late 1990s, multipolarity has been a key focus in Russia’s foreign policy doctrine. A more balanced world has been seen as a counterweight to the global hegemony of the US ...
The hope for a new type of international relations based on mutual benefit, unfortunately, is unlikely to materialise in the foreseeable future
The People's Republic of China has appointed a new foreign minister. Qin Gang, a career diplomat who went through all the key stages of the PRC’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has become the head of the Foreign Ministry. His predecessor Wang Yi was appointed head of the Office of the Foreign Affairs Commission of the CPC Central Committee. The new foreign...
At all costs, India wants to prevent any sudden disruptions that could destabilize the global systemic transition to multipolarity, lead to one of the bi-multipolar superpowers becoming a unipolar hegemon, and thus create the conditions for coercing ... ... and profound changes as everything chaotically transitions from the former U.S.-led unipolar system to an emerging Multipolar World Order. Experts debate exactly when this process began, but many agree that its most significant milestones thus far were ...
RIAC Working Paper No. 62 / 2022
RIAC Working Paper No. 62 / 2022
Practices and principles that underpin multilateralism are currently facing multiple challenges and major opposition, including one-sided rhetoric employed by leaders across the globe, a grave crisis of many multilateral organizations and regimes, both global and regional. Politicians are shifting the responsibility for the shortcomings of multilateralism onto one another, blaming their opponents for departing from legitimate multilateral...
... continuing to “balance” between the U.S. and Russia so as to ensure their rise as great powers in an increasingly complex world order, which will in turn improve their strategic leverage vis-a-vis China and enable them to expand their envisioned “spheres ... ... present analysis attempted to compellingly make the case that this emerging scenario will represent a much more complex version of multipolarity than the current one. Trump’s U.S.-Chinese trade war, which in turn provoked the new Cold War between these two ...
... view from the late 1980s up to the first half of the 2010s was that the West would inevitably dominate within the “liberal world order”, in one way or another.
The conceptualization of the problems that drag out the “transitional period” has changed ... ... 2000; Davidson 2016; Schweller2015]. The rise of new powers, though, contributed just as well to debates on multilateralism and multipolarity of today’s world [Sakwa 2020].
As China was becoming increasingly assertive, the problem of the “hegemon” ...
... Russia itself is a supporter of multilateralism and takes it as the banner of Russian diplomacy. Russia proposes that the future multipolarity should have a just and democratic character and that it should not be based solely on the balance of power, but ... ... anti-unilateralism, anti-neointerventionism, maintaining international strategic stability and establishing a more just and fair world order. Therefore, the goals of China and Russia in international politics will remain unchanged.