... assets, artillery systems and similar capabilities—while inflicting damage—fail to critically undermine enemy resilience. NATO possesses damage mitigation capabilities identical to those of Ukraine, merely on an exponentially greater scale. Unlike Ukraine, Western countries currently demonstrate reduced psychological tolerance for human casualties. That said, concerted political mobilisation and strategic propaganda could recalibrate societal sensitivity to losses and acceptance of wartime sacrifices. The ...
... geopolitical challenges we are facing are not only global conflicts, but also the struggle for access to critical raw materials, such as rare earths, which are important for the defense industry, renewable energies and the high-tech sector, among others. Ukraine's geographical location makes the country very attractive to Western countries, as it enables them to become less dependent on China in the area of critical raw materials.
"Ukraine is an important supplier of titanium, lithium, beryllium, manganese, gallium, uranium, fluoride and nickel, among others. The ...
... India would be willing to contribute in all possible ways to facilitate an early return to peace. However, from a structural point of view, India does not have the heft to navigate the complex Eurasian security dynamics, which led to the conflict in Ukraine in the first place. Therefore, if to look beyond the push for peace, growing Western pressure on India for Modi’s controversial visit to Russia, a country that is openly at odds with the Western world, tacitly implied India’s support to Moscow’s geopolitical ambitions (for the West). Hence, Modi’s Moscow visit necessitated ...
... February 24, 2023
[7]
. The Chinese position basically boils down to the earliest possible ceasefire, resolution of humanitarian crisis, addressing nuclear and strategic risks and starting political negotiations. Neither side should use sanctions, and the West should not supply arms to Ukraine since that will just prolong the bloodshed. In practice, the application of the Chinese approach to the resolution of the conflict will lead to freezing the hostilities and the transformation of the existing frontlines into the lines of actual ...
... is suited to the realities of the 21st century and should be considered modern or a relic of the past.
A. Kortunov also pointed out that the NATO foreign ministers’ meeting in Brussels, held from April 3-4, effectively shifted the burden of funding Ukraine from the U.S. to European countries. The ministerial also discussed the issues of defense spending and decision-making, which have been complicated by the accession of Finland and Sweden, and NATO’s further enlargement, primarily in the Western Balkans.
Dmitry Danilov, Head of the Department of European Security at the RAS Institute of Europe and MGIMO University Professor, noted that NATO was currently at a crossroads, with little clarity on how to organize the anniversary summit in ...
... military conflict largely nullified the legacy of the post-Soviet period. There will be no return to reality of 2021. Obviously, Russia will do everything possible to protect the new territorial status quo, as well as to undermine the military potential of Ukraine as much as possible. It is also obvious that the West will do everything possible to exhaust Russia, and if the circumstances are favourable for it, it will also use internal problems to its advantage.
Dmitri Trenin:
Two Worlds of Russia’s Foreign Policy
The question remains, how will the current ...
... relations with Moscow, which, in turn, influence the strategic structure and balance of power, and this will certainly have important repercussions for the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
***
A more accurate definition of China’s positioning in the Russia–Ukraine conflict is
constructive intervention rather than neutrality. Unlike the US and the West, China’s policy is not based on choosing a side, but oriented toward constructive results.
At this stage, China’s understanding of constructiveness can be summarized in the
twelve-point proposition of the Ukraine peace plan it proposed in February ...
... intermediaries too. That allows countries to arrive at outcomes that benefit them (grain supply guarantees, ensuring stable market for energy resources, etc.) and to maintain a communication channel between Moscow and Kiev.
Choosing between Russia, Ukraine and the West brings these states no advantages. Each is guided by its own interests and will continue to make use of new opportunities. Therefore, policies of Middle Eastern states toward Russia amid the Ukrainian conflict remain pragmatic and balanced even despite ...
... probably see a re-emergence of the unipolar moment—the remaining opposition to this arrangement by Beijing notwithstanding. Although Ukraine might be unfinished business for Mr Putin, Russia’s status is itself unfinished business for many in the West. Triumph for Ukraine might lead to a tamed and domesticated Russia. A quiet Russia would allow the West to cope more easily with China, which would be the only major obstacle to liberal hegemony and the long-awaited “end of history”.
If the conflict results with ...
Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. Russian and foreign experts are currently exploring a wide range of scenarios for such transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation...
