... transactions necessary for Russia. Moscow
is using Iran’s experience
in circumventing sanctions, and is also building cooperation with it (as well as with other sanctioned jurisdictions) in various areas.
The position and role of third countries in the Western policy of sanctions against Russia has several features. First of all, what is striking is the almost complete absence of “black knights,” at least in the form in which they existed during the Cold War. The countries of the world majority have distanced themselves from Western ...
The tit-for-tat logic will continue to dominate relations between Russia and the West
What will the sanctions policy against Russia be in 2024? Is it possible to predict the priorities of such a policy? Yes, it is quite easy. Key decisions on sanctions in 2024 are already embedded in current political decisions. We will see the further expansion of ...
... not see increasing supplies as a red line. Ideologically, Russia and the West have become fundamental rivals for each other. There are no visible compromise solutions to their contradictions. Both sides expect to impose their terms on each other. The West hopes to do so by exhausting Russia with sanctions, providing direct assistance to its military enemy, waging an information war and influencing countries which are neutral or friendly to Russia. Russia hopes to do so by inflicting a military defeat on Ukraine and solving the tasks of the special ...
... MET.
From political perspectives, the OPEC+ decision to cut production is also beneficial. After the February statement of Mr. Novak regarding Russia’s intention to cut oil production, many critics interpreted it as a forced measure. They say the sanctions are doing their job, and Russia can no longer produce enough oil without Western technologies, trying to disguise the actual drop in production as a planned voluntary reduction. Following this logic, other producers also face problems, which is, surely, not true. Furthermore, Russia can present the OPEC+ decision in the information ...
... Ukraine and a peace agreement. There will be no return to "pre-February normality". Instead of remembering a lost past, we will have to focus on creating a new future in which Western sanctions remain a constant variable.
Why is the lifting of Western sanctions on Russia extremely unlikely? There are several reasons.
Ivan Timofeev:
The Policy of Sanctions and the Golden Horde Legacy
The first reason is the complexity of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. It has every chance of being prolonged for a long ...
... people in need (8.1 million out of 14.6 million).
3. Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), an internationally recognized terrorist organization, is still in control of Idlib. It has usurped authority, manipulating humanitarian aid that flows into the province. Russia blames the co-sponsors of res. 2585 for accepting the status quo in northwestern Syria.
4. The U.S. and the EU have imposed unilateral sanctions on Syria, which significantly hinders humanitarian aid deliveries, early recovery and post-conflict reconstruction.
5. The U.S. illegal military presence in northeastern Syria and the U.S. General License 22 (issued on May 12, 2022) exempting ...
... shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy and “blue hydrogen” (producing hydrogen from Russia’s gas, and then sequestering the CO
2
).
Ivan Timofeev:
The US Confiscation Policy
According to the recent IMF working
paper
and
statements
, the West has imposed unprecedented financial sanctions against Russia, while this bears the risk of eroding the dominance of the U.S. dollar as the Ukraine conflict could cause more fragmentation in global financial system. Would you agree with that assumption as Russia, China, India, Saudi Arabia, Turkey are seeking ...
... there should be no doubt, that Beijing has been deeply involved and consulted in Moscow’s planning of the “special military operation” in Ukraine. This level of coordination gives Kremlin the justified confidence that “the World is big” and no sanctions can tip Russia. We already see the contours of the West deeply humiliated and Russia succeeding with it objectives in Ukraine. Like Russia in Europe, China has during the past decades built up the necessary power to act in East Asia, and the decision to resolve the Taiwan issue in a very foreseeable future ...
... current circumstances, it is unlikely that we could return to negotiating a moratorium on NATO enlargement or other options for legally-binding guarantees of Russian security.
Alexander Yermakov:
A Military Response to Russians’ Infernal Question
5. Russia has long been a permanent and priority target of Western economic sanctions. Sanction pressure is expected to augment, gradually but steadily. It will take a long time to get rid of the existing dependence on Russian supplies, hydrocarbons primarily—but the West will hardly step away from this path. The abandonment ...
...
published
on the occasion and accompanied by a historic gas deal, speculation about future Sino-Russian cooperation has
run rampant
. Much of this has to do with the current crisis over Ukraine, with commentaries warning that Chinese backing could embolden Russia into military action by shielding it from the consequences of Western sanctions, thus
removing
a powerful deterrent. Others have warned against a further spillover, arguing that a U.S.-Russian confrontation over Ukraine might even
encourage
China to pursue military reunification with Taiwan. Such extreme scenarios are ...