... of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Withdrawal from the INF Treaty and, more importantly, refusal to extend the New START Treaty would create major risks for the global non-proliferation regime, and... ... predictable, and potentially more dangerous. One hopes that the US withdrawal from the INF Treaty will not become just another item on Moscow’s laundry list of grievances... ... search for new models for reducing nuclear risks and strengthening global and regional strategic stability.
First published in the
DOC Research Institute
.
Russia Should Prepare for the Very Realistic Scenario in which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms ... ... SORT treaties, has been pulled out from under us. Moreover, the collapse of the INF Treaty was accompanied by a litany of accusations against Russia in U.S. political circles and the media and counter accusations by Russia. And now the sides are accusing ...
... the Treaty on the Elimination of the Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles (INF Treaty). Russia, in turn, also suspended its participation in the INF. According... ... control: by quitting the INF Treaty, Washington puts in question the prolongation of the New START agreement, and without the New START, there will be a broader issue of maintaining... ... the fact that the INF Treaty limits missiles of only two parties – Russia and the USA. Meanwhile, the technology of medium- and shorter-range missiles is being vigorously...
... Segodnya hosted a round table on the prospects for the continued existence of The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (The INF Treaty) and the existing international architecture for strategic stability. Representatives of Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) took part in the discussion.
On January ... ... U.S. and Canadian Studies, retired Major General, RIAC expert, noted that the U.S. withdrawal from the INF Treaty threatens New START — an agreement between the Russian Federation and the United States of America on Measures for the Further Reduction ...
... along, but did not emerge until now due to concerns about possible breaches of the INF Treaty, and that it was only greenlighted once an appropriate, militarily significant... ... place. This, however, would require both parties to act fairly boldly.
The Future of New START and Arms Control
It should be stressed here that, unless the United States... ... INF Treaty [
5
]. Without going into much detail as to the essence of the mutual accusations, it should be noted that Washington’s failure to embrace a constructive approach...
... Federation (1998–2004), discusses the consequences of the U.S. withdrawing from the INF Treaty with the "Rossiyskaya Gazeta."
Today marks the start of the official... ... United States — the two countries, which are responsible to a great extent for the strategic stability in the world — are not conducting any negotiations on the issue... ... Yes, the Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty was signed in Moscow in 2002, and the New START was signed in 2010. And both these documents are, without a doubt, very important...
... further, while simultaneously developing new delivery systems.
Thirdly, simply extending New START will not greatly improve arms control in the long run. Any further reductions... ... terminology and broader concepts related to nuclear weapons policy and strategy: deterrence, strategic stability etc. The latter process may start as a Track II discussion.
Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky:
INF Treaty: More than Just an Agreement
The INF is a tougher topic. Both countries have officially accused each other of breaching the treaty, while denying the accusations of the other side. The US has already codified its accusations which, for example...
... unacceptable damage. The McNamara/Sakharov criteria of the Cold War period were purely speculative as well, although we can say that they were proven to be sound through empirical practice, as there were no nuclear strikes during that time. The maintenance of strategic stability in the current situation, which is marked by a significantly lower that the Cold War era level of SNF by numbers, paves the way for thinking about further reductions in the future.
The model presented above shows that if the total ...
... a military conflict. We must work together, including our militaries, to increase transparency and trust.
Fourth, work jointly to preserve and extend existing agreements and treaties, including the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and New START Treaty.
These two agreements are crucial to sustaining transparency and predictability. In the absence of these agreements, there will be no regulations on nuclear forces, exacerbating today’s already high risks.
Fifth, continue consultations ...