... [Karaganov, Suslov 2019a, 2019b] have always failed to realize that the negotiations on arms limitation and reduction, with stringent verification measures, were not about parity, which was only a form, but not the essence of the agreements. The practical arms control process served as a reliable channel for the powers to cooperate in preventing nuclear war, strengthening strategic stability and predictability, exchanging information, explaining the reasons for the deployment of certain weapon systems, building confidence and reducing suspicion. Only in parallel informal expert discussions and social movements have played ...
... into the next 10, 20 or even 30 years.
3.3. The road ahead
Without claiming any mystical knowledge on life after the death of arms control, I would like to offer several rules that could make our life a bit less dangerous and more comfortable for everyone.... ... should be to prevent a nuclear war. This means that even given the absence of an adequate international legal foundation for strategic stability, this stability can and should be improved with the help of the instruments at our common disposal. For example,...
... J. Wirtz and Jeffery A. Larsen. Palgrave Macmillan. 2005, p. 288.
7
. Deterrence. Its Past and Future // Edited by George P. Shultz, Sidney D. Drell and James E. Goodby. Hoover Institution Press. 2011, p. 432.
8
. Alexander Savelyev. INF Treaty and Strategic Stability. / Security and Arms Control 2017–2018. Overcoming the Imbalance of the International Stability // Moscow: ROSSPEN. 2018, pp. 32–40.
9
. Yuri Baluyevsky. Strategic Stability in an Era of Globalization // Russia in Global Affairs. 2003. No 4. // Russia in Global Affairs....
Politicians, Militaries Approve Investment in New Defence Programmes
Prominent Western politicians have launched a global discussion about the risks associated with Russia developing hypersonic weapons. Arms control experts are attempting to estimate the potential of these new weapons, but attempts at this stage are hindered by the absence of important technical data and the lack of specialized terminology in this field.
The discussion of the threats ...
Russia Should Prepare for the Very Realistic Scenario in which the New START will not be Renewed by 2021 and will thus Cease to Exist
The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty), one of the pillars of strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble too, as it is looking dangerously unlikely that the bare minimum of extending the agreement will be achieved. It is time we started preparing ourselves for the ...
... (INF Treaty). Russia, in turn, also suspended its participation in the INF. According to Andrei Kortunov, Director General of the Russian Council on International Affairs, the United States’ decision can create a “domino effect” in the nuclear arms control: by quitting the INF Treaty, Washington puts in question the prolongation of the New START agreement, and without the New START, there will be a broader issue of maintaining the nuclear weapons non-proliferation regime.
Three levels of argumentation ...
... political and military leadership. It is partially because of these risks that it would be a bad idea to rush to deploy new missile systems, thus poring fuel to the simmering conflicts.
Dmitry Stefanovich, Malcolm Chalmers:
Is This the End of Nuclear Arms Control?
It is much more likely that all the actors involved will exercise some degree of self-restraint. The interested parties could state their intentions to refrain from unprovoked deployments of missile systems. This would prevent any restrictions ...
... the United States from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, another step towards the destruction of the international arms control regime established over 30 years ago. At the same time, military technology is developing at an unprecedented rate: ... ... deadly weapons. Moreover, Russia and the United States — the two countries, which are responsible to a great extent for the strategic stability in the world — are not conducting any negotiations on the issue. What could all this lead to?
It truly ...
