... balancing act: what awaits it in years to come?
A key component of Russia’s 21st-century grand strategy goal of becoming the supreme ... ... after the country’s decisive anti-terrorist intervention in Syria in 2015. What is therefore needed is a clear understanding ... ... multilaterally.
Ivan Bocharov:
Prospects for a Settlement of the Libyan Conflict: Three Scenarios of the Mid-Term Forecast
Upon ... ... unofficial rule, though, Saudi Arabia got bogged down in neighboring Yemen, which led to the
world’s worst humanitarian crisis
. ...
... point on the Russia-West global agenda, which is already overburdened with many acute problems. At the same time, it has become apparent that domestic driving forces increasingly trump extra-regional influences such as the geopolitical rivalry between Russia and the US, between Western states (France, Italy, Germany, Greece), including Turkey, as is happening in Libya, between the regional powers themselves (Saudi Arabia, Iran, the UAE, Qatar) in Yemen, or between all of them in Syria.
The pandemic has affected Libya, Syria and Yemen to a lesser degree than the US and West European states. At the same time, the number of cases is still growing and is gradually approaching the limits of their capacities as these countries are ...
... the Iranian Republican Guard Corps to intervene when ordered.
Thus, three main focal points will prevail in 2020:
First: the impact of global economic trends on domestic politics; the influence of regional power struggles on unresolved conflicts in Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and Libya. In many ways, these dynamics are interconnected and feed into one another. However, evidence of increased contact with Russia by countries like Egypt and Jordan should be taken in the context of the US disengagement from the region, which began during the Obama administration, and concern about the Trump administration's disorganised, chaotic foreign policy. Furthermore,...
... fits all’ solution for the region. In some situations (such as Yemen), the United Nations can and should become a key actor; in ... ... ongoing fighting and a major foreign military engagement (such as Syria), the name of the game should be escalation avoidance and ... ... conflicting sides are not yet ready for a political compromise (such as Libya, possibly), the priority for external players might be to ... ... security and development sides of the regional crisis.
Europe and Russia have more stakes in the Middle East than other global players,...
... the region, possible mechanisms and sequencing of solutions to Middle East issues.
The discussion focuses on acute crises in Syria, Yemen, and Libya, as well as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and potential instability in other countries of the region. Aleksandr Aksenyonok, RIAC Vice-President, and Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, represent Russian side at the meeting.
... table with the participation of experts, representatives of the academic community, and non-governmental organizations from Russia, Italy, Germany, Austria, and the United Kingdom. The round table discussed the issues of modern security architecture ... ...
Regional scenarios were presented and analyzed at the round table in order to develop recommendations for crisis management in Syria, Libya, and Yemen involving all concerned parties for constructive interaction.