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... not a Eurasian “powder keg”— are the final goal. 1 . Holmes, J.W. Most Safely in the Middle // International Journal, Spring 1984. Vol. 39. № 2, pp. 366–388. 2 . Golmohammadi, V. and Markedonov, S.M. How Iran Perceives Turkey’s Rise in the South Caucasus // Russia in Global Affairs. 2024. Vol. 22. № 1. Pp. 152–175. 3 . Leksyutina, Ya. V. China in South Caucasus: The Scale of Economic Presence // Post-Soviet Studies, 2022, vol. 5, #1, pp. 57-72
... which surely coupled with the zero point of Armenia’s foreign policy decisions. Sergei Melkonian, Jason Wahlang: India in the South Caucasus: Implications for Russia, Iran and Turkey Armenia no longer has the need to compete with Azerbaijan for the Russian policy efforts in South Caucasus, while its services as an agent of foreign influence in the region have seen a sharp increase in demand recently from ‘buyers’ such as France, the EU and the United States. From Moscow, Yerevan has already received the most of what ...
... zero-sum game. In this context, India is not part of the collective West and does not project its interests. Competing in the region, which is within Russia's sphere of interest, is not on India's agenda. Therefore, New Delhi's expanding presence in the South Caucasus does not threaten Russia’s zero-sum game approach. Second, India considers Armenia as a bridge to the EAEU. Negotiations on the creation of a free trade zone continue between the parties, as New Delhi is now preparing to become an observer country of the EAEU in 2024....
Russia can rest assured that all formal and informal agreements with Azerbaijan will be honored An epilogue for Karabakh On September 20, 2023, a historic event took place. Its scale and impact on the future of South Caucasus and Russia’s policy in this region has yet to be comprehended. The separatist hotbed in Karabakh, which had been supported by Armenia militarily, diplomatically and financially for 32 years, declared itself liquidated following a one-day counter-terrorist ...
... China and its regional partners cannot even theoretically be considered potentially hostile to Russia, their rapprochement can either benefit it or eliminate existing problems if it moderately succeeds. But there is no way to create new difficulties for Russia, comparable to those that we are now seeing emanating from the West. The same goes for the South Caucasus region, which is now very likely on the verge of major changes because of the long-standing conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This region, due to its geopolitical position, as well as its ethnic composition, cannot become a consolidated ...
The discussion focused on the following issues: the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, relations between Russia and Georgia in the context of challenges in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, and prospects for cooperation between Russia and the European Union in the South Caucasus On September 28, 2021, Swedish Embassy in Russia hosted a meeting between Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, Nikolay Silaev, RIAC Expert, Director of Caucasian Cooperation Nonprofit Partnership, Senior Research Fellow, Center for ...
... for their own divide-and-rule benefit, but Russian diplomacy literally saved the day not just for Armenia but for the wider region. The resultant ceasefire mandates the unblocking of all regional economic and transport corridors, thereby unlocking the South Caucasus’ connectivity potential and greatly advancing Russia’s commercial interests with those countries as well as neighboring Turkey and Iran. This is by far Russia’s greatest achievement in the “Ummah Pivot”, but it requires Armenia to fully respect it, which remains to be seen for domestic reasons....
... for the South Caucasus, we can establish similarities between the countries and see how the Blue Ocean strategy approach can develop the “opportunity” part in the region: SWOT Matrix of the South Caucasus Strengths Located between great players - Russia, Turkey, EU and Asia - the South Caucasus can be successfully used as a platform for the production, transfer and transformation of goods; Favorable climate for the development of renewable energies and products in with a high demand on international markets (e.g. Georgian wine ...
... subsequent global recession is an ideal opportunity for the Kremlin to reassert its grip on at least some parts of the post-Soviet space. The West is much weaker today that it was just a couple of months ago. There is apparently no appetite for confronting Russia either in Belarus, or in the South Caucasus, not to mention Central Asia. The United States is obsessed with its election drama; the European Union struggles with its immense domestic challenges; the glorious days of liberal triumphalism are gone. Arguably, the Russian leadership ...
The decision to recognize Abkhazia underlines growing competition between the West and Russia Abkhazia is a partially recognized state — Russia (2008), Nicaragua (2008), Venezuela (2009), Nauru (2009), Syria (2018) — of 8,660km2 and 240,000 inhabitants located on the shores of the Black Sea. During the Soviet times, the region was ...
| U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements |
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| U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity |
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| U.S. wants to dissolve Russia |
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| U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China |
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