... this time the ongoing conflict in Ukraine is already over and that some kind of accommodation with the West is already achieved. Such accommodation will be staged and partial; the odds are that even in 2035 some of the US and EU sanctions imposed on Moscow in 2022–2024 will still be in place. It is unlikely that the pre-2022 pattern of Russia-West relations can be restored in full even in eleven years from now. Russia’s pivot to Asia is going to continue even if a direct military clash with NATO is successfully avoided and some level of cooperation with the West is restored. At the ...
... First of all, it demonstrates how short-sighted it can be to rely on a limited number of allies, as well as to take on significant obligations. Just as the United States must adapt to a political milieu in which more and more sovereign states matter, Russia will have to consider the expansion of the circle of participants regarding the issues that interest it. So far, Moscow’s policy in its immediate circle is showing signs of such adaptability to inevitably changing conditions. However, in order for this not to become just a form of retreat, which is delicate for our own pride, we have to solve several more important ...
... #87 / 2023
RIAC, Institute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Institute of International Studies at Fudan University Report #87 / 2023
The ninth annual report “Russian-Chinese Dialogue: The 2023 Model” analyzes Russia–China relations from the second and fourth quarters of 2022 to the first quarter of 2023. During this period, Moscow–Beijing relations were significantly affected by the external environment; namely, state tendencies towards escalating confrontation. This report focuses on Russia and China’s place in the changing world order and the possible opportunities these ...
... we are witnessing the activities of the BRICS, which emerged as an alternative to the Western world order, but took the form of its most interesting achievement. At the regional level of Eurasia, the activity of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), which is also an international institution, but without the participation of Western countries, has become quite successful. Even Russia and its closest neighbours have created institutions such as the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO).
The first two institutions are new in the sense that they have no connection with the power ...
... world is evolving, albeit slowly and reluctantly, in the direction of a new geopolitical, economic and technological bipolarity. This is clearly not what most of us hoped for earlier this century, but this trend cannot be ignored and it affects both Moscow and New Delhi.
Year after year, Russia is moving farther east, strengthening and developing its multiple ties with China. Year after year, India is shifting further west, increasing various forms of cooperation with the United States. This is the reality we have to acknowledge before ...
... said here does not mean, of course, that peace and stability in Greater Eurasia is guaranteed. It is under the influence of challenges and threats of both internal and external origin. Nor should we underestimate the determination of the adversaries of Russia and China in their efforts to undermine the stability of countries which share the “common neighbourhood” of Moscow and Beijing. However, one should not lose sight of the objective factors that make Greater Eurasia a more stable region in modern circumstances than would be predicted by an established view of the nature of international politics in its regional ...
... geostrategic position. Pakistan’s role is very important in terms of stability, but it also creates more political space and leverage for Russia in Asia. As we all know, the Russian–Indian relations are an important factor, but we would also like Russians to help Pakistani in the SCO. Pakistan also needs some trade partners, economic stability, FDIs. I think Pakistan could play a bigger role if it becomes more economically oriented and secure partner. With economics at the center. And then everything would revolve around it. I ...
... global perspective. And it’s time for, in my view, humanity to come to its senses and end this conflict and instead begin to meet the challenges of global economic development. So, coming back to Eurasian development, there is a recent publication by Russian economist, Sergei Glazyev, who recently spoke at the Moscow Economic Forum and is actually minister for integration and macroeconomics of the Eurasian Economic Commission. He has written a new book called “China's Economic Miracle, Lessons for Russia and the World”. There, one sees that rather than falling ...
..., thus creating integration platforms in the global economy. One proposal in this regard has been the BEAMS platform, which brings together the primary regional integration blocks of the BRICS countries, namely BIMSTEC (India), Eurasian Economic Union (Russia), African Union (South Africa), MERCOSUR (Brazil), and SCO (China). The benefits of creating such a BRICS+ platform are manifold, including the multiplier effect that this format achieves with regard to the outreach of BRICS to the remainder of the developing world. Moreover, this format enables BRICS ...
... mutually.
Above and apart from connectivity initiatives, India’s engagement with the CARs is also gaining prominence due to New Delhi’s dual presidency of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) as well as the Grouping of 20 economies (G20). The SCO, particularly comprising China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, India, and Pakistan, covers over 60% of the Eurasian landmass and is pivotal for India’s outreach towards the region. Throughout different occasions, New Delhi has also emphasized the need for greater cooperation in domains ...
