... imaginary line.
Quid facere debemus?
Larisa Saveleva Dovgal:
Escalation Signaling in Ukraine and Its Implications for the Strategic Russia-US Relationship
This widening schism between the NWSs and NNWSs, coupled with the hesitancy on the part of latent nuclear ... ... convergence in the global fora. One of the associated recommendations is thus reviving dialogue in multitudinous venues such as NPT Review Conference preparatory committees that start functioning years before the RevCon itself. Another line of work deals ...
... different from what we saw over the last fifty years (e. g. it would be difficult to envisage new comprehensive legally binding US-Russian agreements ratified by the US Senate). Today, we need an entirely new (hopefully, multilateral) arms control model capable ... ... clearly and unambiguously reconfirm their remaining commitment to nuclear disarmament in order to avoid a full collapse of the NPT regime. An important contribution to nonproliferation would be further progress in entering into force the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban ...
On September 28, 2022, a regular online international expert dialog on Russia-NATO relations was held, bringing together experts, former diplomats and military, public leaders from Russia, the USA, and European NATO member-states
On September 28, 2022, a regular online international expert dialog on Russia-NATO relations ...
... imbalances.
And finally, the beginning of multilateral negotiations of the actual possessors of nuclear weapons should be preceded by the recognition of at least India and Pakistan (and possibly Israel and the DPRK) as nuclear powers in the context of the NPT.
I think that the existing model of nuclear arms control has not completely outlived its usefulness.
It should be noted that for decades the strategic offensive arms reduction treaties between the United States and the USSR/Russia ensured strategic stability by maintaining a balance of nuclear potentials and by providing for the exchange of comprehensive information on the status of strategic offensive nuclear forces and plans for their modernisation. This stability was ...
... United States and Russia to negotiate new agreements related to arms control and nonproliferation at a time when more states are challenging the strictures of the NPT. Many states, including rising “middle powers,” believe the United States and Russia have not lived up to their NPT commitments to reduce their own nuclear arsenals. Perception that the current system is unjust will push more of these middle powers to develop nuclear programs.
A third risk stems from global democratic backsliding and the emergence of authoritarian ...
... that the Iranian and Korean problems, the confrontation between nuclear powers and the proponents of the “post-modern NPT,” i.e. the populist Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), and the degradation of arms control along the U.S.–Russia axis will cause the NPT to collapse.
Aleksey Arbatov:
Talks on a Future START Should Have Been Launched Yesterday
The destructive stance of the United States concerning the preservation of those treaties is the common element that unites all the agreements that are cracking ...
... nuclear disarmament advocates and the 2020 Review Conference may turn out to be the final event in this format. In this way, the NPT will follow in the wake of the CTBT, START III, INF and ABM treaties on the road to the dustbin of history that is growing ... ... time, sober-minded experts did not want to believe in even the hypothetical possibility of the death of arms control. Both in Russia and the West they proceeded from the premise that “this cannot be because this can never be.” Hence, they focused on ...
... most part, Russia and the US find themselves on opposite sides of the barricade by taking the lead for promoting mutually-exclusive initiatives. Even if both countries stand-by-side in opposing horizontal nuclear proliferation in the context of the NPT, Russia and the US are evidently not prepared to further cut their respective nuclear arsenals because of their unresolved compliance disputes and reciprocal claims in undermining strategic stability. Therefore, the US-Russian stalemate over bilateral ...
... from the NPT back in 2003, continues to test nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles. The new U.S. administration and Congress are against the 2015 multilateral agreement on limiting the Iranian nuclear program, which might strike a decisive blow to the NPT. Further proliferation of nuclear weapons would mostly occur along Russia’s borders: in Iran, Turkey, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, South Korea and Japan. Ultimately, this will result in nuclear arms inevitably ending up with terrorists, meaning a catastrophe for civilization as we know it.
There are multiple reasons for the ...
