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The bottom line is that the costs far outweigh the benefits, which is what underlies our bleak assessment of the current scenario Most experts, both in Russia and abroad, thought it was extremely unlikely and implausible that Russia would launch a full-scale military operation in Ukraine. Allegations that Moscow was preparing for something like this were laughed off, with this being labeled as another ...
... integrity. This explains Kiev’s increased activity at the UN and other international organizations. Accordingly, one should not expect any succession of diplomatic recognition of the new states by the international community. In this respect, the DNR and LNR are unlikely to be more successful than Abkhazia and South Ossetia, recognized by Russia in 2008. It is easy to predict that Ukraine will accord a particular focus on capitalizing on its image as a “victim of aggression” in order to increase economic aid from the West. And here Kiev may well succeed, since Western countries, which ...
| U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements |
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| U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity |
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| U.S. wants to dissolve Russia |
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| U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China |
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