When assessing the current state in Russian-Armenian relations, we must consider the different visions of Yerevan and Moscow
The specifics of Armenian national policy
The fundamental basis of Armenia’s foreign policy, both under the leadership of Kocharyan-Sargsyan and in the Pashinyan era,...
Russia can rest assured that all formal and informal agreements with Azerbaijan
will be honored
An epilogue for Karabakh ... ... Russia’s policy in this region has yet to be comprehended. The separatist hotbed in Karabakh, which had been supported by Armenia militarily, diplomatically and financially for 32 years, declared itself liquidated following a one-day counter-terrorist ...
... peoples or ethnicities would flare up in Baku, Zangezur, Nakhichevan, and even in the territory of modern Georgia, i.e., outside Nagorno-Karabakh. This was the case in the Russian Empire, in the late Soviet times, and after the collapse of the USSR [
2
]. Just to remind: the trigger for the second Karabakh war
was
the clashes in July 2020 on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border about 200 km off the hotbed of the conflict in NKR.
Fighting for land and “coincidence”
The main ...
... experts, and activists in Armenia are now calling for the withdrawal of Armenia from the CSTO and the expulsion of the Russian military base and border troops from Armenia. Suffice to say, the outcome of such steps would be disastrous for the people of Nagorno-Karabakh, for Armenia, for the Caucasus region, and for Russian national security. Moreover, as the experience of the difficult years of 1918–1920 illustrated, it is exceedingly naïve to expect that Western powers will come to Armenia’s “rescue”. The stark reality is that with no Russian presence ...
... alliances. Like South Korea, the South Caucasus might focus on solving internal issues before outside matters, especially considering the stagnation with para-states for already more than three decades.
1
.
de jure
according to some states such as Russia, Syria and Venezuela
2
. Armenia is a member of the Eurasian Economic Union, however without Nagorno-Karabakh which is recognised to be
de jure
part of Azerbaijan.
3
.
https://www.blueoceanstrategy.com
4
. Edward Bibring (1943). The Conception of the Repetition Compulsion.
The Psychoanalytic Quarterly
. 12 (4): 486–519.
5
. The situation ...
After over 200 years, Russia’s commitment to the Caucasus remains firm
On November 9, Russia signed a
peace statement
with the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan, ending the most recent war in Nagorno-Karabakh. Overall,
Moscow emerged as the clear winner
by ending hostilities, introducing peacekeepers, and maintaining its central role in the vital Caucasus region. However, Russia’s direct intervention in the Karabakh conflict with the November ...
... and between Azerbaijan, as well as the enclave of the Azerbaijani Nakhchivan region through the territory of Armenia. Nonetheless, this part of the agreement, in particular, remains incomplete, with the continued closure of the land borders between Armenia and Turkey.
Michael Lambert:
Russia and the Judgment of Solomon in Nagorno-Karabakh
Nikol Pashinyan, Prime Minister of Armenia, believes that abolishing the ban on transport links will completely change the logic of development in the region. In an interview with the Russian TASS agency, he said, commenting on the tripartite ...
... the United States.
In the South Caucasus, Russia’s military presence is limited to land-locked Armenia, but its solitary base there has served the only purpose of protecting Armenia from a Turkish invasion. Moscow never committed itself to defending Armenian positions in the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region, which Russia has always legally recognized as part of Azerbaijan and where it sought to mediate between the two sides. For its part, the Armenian leadership under Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan had since 2018 been distancing itself from Russia and reaching ...
... withdrawal of peacekeepers. Azerbaijan should do the same and purchase even more Russian equipment and move closer to Moscow diplomatically to attract Russia's endorsements to reclaim even more occupied territories.
Contrary to the Judgment of Solomon, Armenians and Azeris are not ready to accept the separation of Nagorno-Karabakh, and Russia is entering a new part of the world without knowing if it will ever be able to withdraw from it. This could lead to unpredictable consequences within the Minsk group and in relations with Turkey, which had given diplomatic support to Azerbaijan....
... clashes had nothing to do with the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region, as it is far from the Azerbaijani territories occupied by Armenia.
The city of Tovuz is located near the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum natural gas pipeline,... ... its oil and natural gas, the so-called "Caspian Sea wealth," to Turkey, Europe and other global markets.
A Blow to Russian Interests
Christian Wollny:
Nagorno-Karabakh: A Frozen Conflict Rethawed
The location of the attack or the clashes indicates that they were against Turkish-Western ...